Scoreo

Langfang Glory City vs Dalian HuayiLeague Two 2026

3/23/2024League TwoLeague Two · Round 1Langfang City Sports Center

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Langfang Glory City39%
×Draw30%
Dalian Huayi31%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Langfang Glory City
1.14
Dalian Huayi
0.98

Langfang Glory City creates 16% more chances

Season form · 37 home / 14 away

creates per match

Langfang Glory City
1.49
Dalian Huayi
1.21

allows per match

Langfang Glory City
0.76
Dalian Huayi
0.79

finishing

Langfang Glory City+0.00on par
Dalian Huayi+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Langfang Glory City

Dalian Huayi
0
1
2
3
4
0
0012%
0112%
026%
032%
040%
1
1014%
1113%
127%
132%
141%
2
208%
218%
224%
231%
240%
3
303%
313%
321%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Langfang Glory City or draw
69%
Langfang Glory City or Dalian Huayi
70%
Draw or Dalian Huayi
61%

Winning margin

Langfang Glory City wins by 2+
16%
Dalian Huayi wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Langfang Glory City 1+ goals
68%
Langfang Glory City 2+ goals
32%
Langfang Glory City 3+ goals
11%
Dalian Huayi 1+ goals
62%
Dalian Huayi 2+ goals
26%
Dalian Huayi 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Langfang Glory City (draw refunded)
56%
Dalian Huayi (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Langfang Glory City at homecreates 1.49, concedes 0.76 · 37 matches

Dalian Huayi awaycreates 1.21, concedes 0.79 · 14 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Langfang Glory City attack 1.49 + Dalian Huayi defence 0.79 → ÷2 → 1.14

Dalian Huayi attack 1.21 + Langfang Glory City defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Langfang Glory City scores more
39%
level
30%
Dalian Huayi scores more
31%

Langfang Glory City at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Langfang Glory City will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Langfang Glory City vs Dalian Huayi

Dalian Huayi beat Langfang Glory City 1-0 in League Two on March 23, 2024.

The match was played at Langfang City Sports Center in Langfang.