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Dalian Huayi vs Langfang Glory City — League Two 2026

Dalian Huayi
Dalian Huayi
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Langfang Glory City
Langfang Glory City
6/1/2024League TwoLeague Two · Round 10Jinzhou Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Dalian Huayi53%
×Draw28%
Langfang Glory City19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dalian Huayi
1.34
Langfang Glory City
0.67

Dalian Huayi creates 100% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 37 away

creates per match

Dalian Huayi
1.36
Langfang Glory City
0.84

allows per match

Dalian Huayi
0.50
Langfang Glory City
1.32

finishing

Dalian Huayi+0.00on par
Langfang Glory City+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dalian Huayi ↓

Langfang Glory City →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–19%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Dalian Huayi or draw
81%
Dalian Huayi or Langfang Glory City
72%
Draw or Langfang Glory City
47%

Winning margin

Dalian Huayi wins by 2+
26%
Langfang Glory City wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Dalian Huayi 1+ goals
74%
Dalian Huayi 2+ goals
39%
Dalian Huayi 3+ goals
15%
Langfang Glory City 1+ goals
49%
Langfang Glory City 2+ goals
15%
Langfang Glory City 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Dalian Huayi (draw refunded)
74%
Langfang Glory City (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dalian Huayi at home — creates 1.36, concedes 0.50 · 14 matches

Langfang Glory City away — creates 0.84, concedes 1.32 · 37 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dalian Huayi attack 1.36 + Langfang Glory City defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.34

Langfang Glory City attack 0.84 + Dalian Huayi defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Dalian Huayi scores more
53%
level
28%
Langfang Glory City scores more
19%

Dalian Huayi at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Dalian Huayi will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Dalian Huayi vs Langfang Glory City

Dalian Huayi beat Langfang Glory City 1-0 in League Two on June 1, 2024.

The match was played at Jinzhou Stadium in Dalian.