Landskrona BoIS 3–3 IF Brommapojkarna

Landskrona BoIS

FT

3 – 3

HT: 2 – 1

IF Brommapojkarna

A. Egnell 57'

J. Rapp 29'

L. Olsson 22'

G. Magnusson 90'

M. Ćosić 83', 19'

5/15/2022

Superettan · Round 7Landskrona Idrottsplats

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Landskrona BoIS43%

×Draw24%

IF Brommapojkarna32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Landskrona BoISExpected goals in this matchIF Brommapojkarna

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.59

1.35

Landskrona BoIS

1.59

IF Brommapojkarna

1.35

Landskrona BoIS creates 18% more chances

Season form · 98 home / 30 away

1.55

creates per match

1.50

1.21

allows per match

1.63

creates per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.55

IF Brommapojkarna

1.50

allows per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.21

IF Brommapojkarna

1.63

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

IF Brommapojkarna+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Landskrona BoIS ↓

IF Brommapojkarna →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

34%66%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Landskrona BoIS or draw

68%

Landskrona BoIS or IF Brommapojkarna

76%

Draw or IF Brommapojkarna

57%

Winning margin

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+

22%

IF Brommapojkarna wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals

80%

Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals

47%

Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals

21%

IF Brommapojkarna 1+ goals

74%

IF Brommapojkarna 2+ goals

39%

IF Brommapojkarna 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)

57%

IF Brommapojkarna (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Landskrona BoIS at home — creates 1.55, concedes 1.21 · 98 matches

IF Brommapojkarna away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.63 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.55 + IF Brommapojkarna defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.59

IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.50 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Landskrona BoIS scores more

43%

level

24%

IF Brommapojkarna scores more

32%

Landskrona BoIS at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

19'

22'

29'

34'

36'

45+3'

53'

57'

58'

58'

W. Odefalk← R. Deprem

69'

A. Abrahamsson← O. Krusnell

75'

Erik Hedenquist

77'

Alexander Abrahamsson

77'

E. Tesfai← O. Pettersson

77'

P. Hellquist← M. Jelassi

82'

E. Jönsson← A. Egnell

82'

82'

83'

89'

90+2'

V. Wihlstrand← J. Rapp

90'

G. Magnusson

Statistics

LandskronaIF

Overview

6Corners5

Discipline

3Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards0

Superettan: Landskrona BoIS 3–3 IF Brommapojkarna

Landskrona BoIS and IF Brommapojkarna drew 3-3 in Superettan on May 15, 2022.

Goals: M. Ćosić (19', 83'), L. Olsson (22'), J. Rapp (29'), A. Egnell (57'), G. Magnusson (90').

The match was played at Landskrona Idrottsplats in Landskrona.

Landskrona BoIS vs IF Brommapojkarna — Superettan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Statistics

Superettan: Landskrona BoIS 3–3 IF Brommapojkarna