Kun Khalifat FC 3–1 Wikki Tourist: Result & Stats

Kun Khalifat FC

FT

3 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Wikki Tourist

U. Onuoha 80', 32'

G. Lekan 60'

J. Naisa 9'

5/24/2026

NPFL · Round 38

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Kun Khalifat FC55%

×Draw27%

Wikki Tourist18%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kun Khalifat FCExpected goals in this matchWikki Tourist

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.45

0.71

Kun Khalifat FC

1.45

Wikki Tourist

0.71

Kun Khalifat FC creates 104% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 89 away

1.42

creates per match

0.52

0.89

allows per match

1.48

creates per match

Kun Khalifat FC

1.42

Wikki Tourist

0.52

allows per match

Kun Khalifat FC

0.89

Wikki Tourist

1.48

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kun Khalifat FC+0.00on par

Wikki Tourist+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kun Khalifat FC ↓

Wikki Tourist →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Kun Khalifat FC or draw

82%

Kun Khalifat FC or Wikki Tourist

73%

Draw or Wikki Tourist

45%

Winning margin

Kun Khalifat FC wins by 2+

28%

Wikki Tourist wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Kun Khalifat FC 1+ goals

77%

Kun Khalifat FC 2+ goals

42%

Kun Khalifat FC 3+ goals

18%

Wikki Tourist 1+ goals

51%

Wikki Tourist 2+ goals

16%

Wikki Tourist 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Kun Khalifat FC (draw refunded)

75%

Wikki Tourist (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kun Khalifat FC at home — creates 1.42, concedes 0.89 · 19 matches

Wikki Tourist away — creates 0.52, concedes 1.48 · 89 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kun Khalifat FC attack 1.42 + Wikki Tourist defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.45

Wikki Tourist attack 0.52 + Kun Khalifat FC defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 0.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Kun Khalifat FC scores more

55%

level

27%

Wikki Tourist scores more

18%

Kun Khalifat FC at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Kun Khalifat FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'

32'

60'

80'

Kun

Wikki

1

2

5

35

22

28

23

32

⚽

8

24

9

31

5

⚽

4

15

3

6

25

29

⚽2

17

9

37

Kun Khalifat FC substitutes

21Ejiogu24Kelechi38Kolawole8Oghenetega33Nnanna11Mohammad13Ibe14Abah2Akano

Wikki Tourist substitutes

30Chizoba3Aliyu25Abdullahi7Guda34Abubakar

Match Recap: Kun Khalifat FC vs Wikki Tourist

Kun Khalifat FC beat Wikki Tourist 3-1 in NPFL on May 24, 2026.

Goals: J. Naisa (9'), U. Onuoha (32', 80'), G. Lekan (60').

Kun Khalifat FC vs Wikki Tourist — NPFL 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Kun Khalifat FC vs Wikki Tourist