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Kuala Lumpur FA vs Johor Darul Takzim FC — Malaysia Cup 2019

Kuala Lumpur FA
Kuala Lumpur FA
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 2
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Johor Darul Takzim FCadvanced
4/3/2026Malaysia CupMalaysia Cup · Semi-finalsKLFA Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Kuala Lumpur FA21%
×Draw22%
Johor Darul Takzim FC57%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kuala Lumpur FA
1.05
Johor Darul Takzim FC
1.88

Johor Darul Takzim FC creates 79% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 24 away

creates per match

Kuala Lumpur FA
1.53
Johor Darul Takzim FC
2.88

allows per match

Kuala Lumpur FA
0.87
Johor Darul Takzim FC
0.58

finishing

Kuala Lumpur FA+0.00on par
Johor Darul Takzim FC+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kuala Lumpur FA ↓

Johor Darul Takzim FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–110%
0–29%
0–36%
0–43%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–25%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Kuala Lumpur FA or draw
43%
Kuala Lumpur FA or Johor Darul Takzim FC
78%
Draw or Johor Darul Takzim FC
79%

Winning margin

Kuala Lumpur FA wins by 2+
8%
Johor Darul Takzim FC wins by 2+
33%

Team goals

Kuala Lumpur FA 1+ goals
65%
Kuala Lumpur FA 2+ goals
28%
Kuala Lumpur FA 3+ goals
9%
Johor Darul Takzim FC 1+ goals
85%
Johor Darul Takzim FC 2+ goals
56%
Johor Darul Takzim FC 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Kuala Lumpur FA (draw refunded)
27%
Johor Darul Takzim FC (draw refunded)
73%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kuala Lumpur FA at home — creates 1.53, concedes 0.87 · 15 matches

Johor Darul Takzim FC away — creates 2.88, concedes 0.58 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kuala Lumpur FA attack 1.53 + Johor Darul Takzim FC defence 0.58 → ÷2 → 1.05

Johor Darul Takzim FC attack 2.88 + Kuala Lumpur FA defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 1.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Kuala Lumpur FA scores more
21%
level
22%
Johor Darul Takzim FC scores more
57%

Johor Darul Takzim FC at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Johor Darul Takzim FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Kuala Lumpur FA vs Johor Darul Takzim FC

Johor Darul Takzim FC beat Kuala Lumpur FA 4-0 in Malaysia Cup on April 3, 2026.

The match was played at KLFA Stadium in Kuala Lumpur.