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Krylya Sovetov W vs Rubin Kazan W — Supreme Division Women 2026

Krylya Sovetov W
Krylya Sovetov W
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Rubin Kazan W
Rubin Kazan W
9/1/2024Supreme Division WomenSupreme Division Women · Round 18Stadion Metallurg

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 43+ matches

Krylya Sovetov W49%
×Draw25%
Rubin Kazan W26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Krylya Sovetov W
1.60
Rubin Kazan W
1.11

Krylya Sovetov W creates 44% more chances

Season form · 43 home / 68 away

creates per match

Krylya Sovetov W
0.84
Rubin Kazan W
0.53

allows per match

Krylya Sovetov W
1.70
Rubin Kazan W
2.37

finishing

Krylya Sovetov W+0.00on par
Rubin Kazan W+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Krylya Sovetov W ↓

Rubin Kazan W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Krylya Sovetov W or draw
74%
Krylya Sovetov W or Rubin Kazan W
75%
Draw or Rubin Kazan W
51%

Winning margin

Krylya Sovetov W wins by 2+
25%
Rubin Kazan W wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Krylya Sovetov W 1+ goals
80%
Krylya Sovetov W 2+ goals
47%
Krylya Sovetov W 3+ goals
22%
Rubin Kazan W 1+ goals
67%
Rubin Kazan W 2+ goals
30%
Rubin Kazan W 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Krylya Sovetov W (draw refunded)
65%
Rubin Kazan W (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Krylya Sovetov W at home — creates 0.84, concedes 1.70 · 43 matches

Rubin Kazan W away — creates 0.53, concedes 2.37 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Krylya Sovetov W attack 0.84 + Rubin Kazan W defence 2.37 → ÷2 → 1.60

Rubin Kazan W attack 0.53 + Krylya Sovetov W defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Krylya Sovetov W scores more
49%
level
25%
Rubin Kazan W scores more
26%

Krylya Sovetov W at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Krylya Sovetov W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Supreme Division Women: Krylya Sovetov W 0–0 Rubin Kazan W

Krylya Sovetov W and Rubin Kazan W drew 0-0 in Supreme Division Women on September 1, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Metallurg in Samara.