Kristiansund BK 2–2 Brann: Result & Stats

Kristiansund BK

FT

2 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Brann

M. Isah 89', 75'

S. Magnusson 69' (pen), 67'

8/31/2025

Eliteserien · Round 20Kristiansund Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Kristiansund BK27%

×Draw23%

Brann50%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kristiansund BKExpected goals in this matchBrann

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.25

1.79

Kristiansund BK

1.25

Brann

1.79

Brann creates 43% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

1.07

creates per match

1.55

2.04

allows per match

1.43

creates per match

Kristiansund BK

1.07

Brann

1.55

allows per match

Kristiansund BK

2.04

Brann

1.43

+0.43scores more than expected

finishing

+0.31scores more than expected

finishing

Kristiansund BK+0.43scores more

Brann+0.31scores more

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kristiansund BK ↓

Brann →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–19%

0–28%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–06%

1–111%

1–210%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–26%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

58%42%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Kristiansund BK or draw

50%

Kristiansund BK or Brann

77%

Draw or Brann

73%

Winning margin

Kristiansund BK wins by 2+

11%

Brann wins by 2+

27%

Team goals

Kristiansund BK 1+ goals

71%

Kristiansund BK 2+ goals

36%

Kristiansund BK 3+ goals

13%

Brann 1+ goals

83%

Brann 2+ goals

53%

Brann 3+ goals

26%

Draw no bet

Kristiansund BK (draw refunded)

35%

Brann (draw refunded)

65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kristiansund BK at home — creates 1.07, concedes 2.04 · 8 matches

Brann away — creates 1.55, concedes 1.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kristiansund BK attack 1.07 + Brann defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.25

Brann attack 1.55 + Kristiansund BK defence 2.04 → ÷2 → 1.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Kristiansund BK scores more

27%

level

23%

Brann scores more

50%

Brann at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Brann will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

22

S. Magnusson

Brann · F

8.7

Match Events

10'

Wilfred George Igor

25'

Sander Hestetun Kilen

31'

Jacob Lungi Sørensen

32'

Niklas Odegard

46'

S. Skeide← W. Igor

61'

U. Mathisen← M. Hansen

62'

M. Isah← L. Alvheim

67'

S. Magnusson↳ J. Sorensen

69'

Dan Peter Ulvestad

69'

S. MagnussonPenalty

75'

M. Isah↳ N. Odegard

76'

R. Corlu← D. Tufekcic

76'

M. Williamsen← I. Hoffmann

76'

A. Ndour← H. Sletsjoe

84'

Felix Horn Myhre

84'

J. Soltvedt← V. Dragsnes

84'

M. Haaland← E. Gudmundsson

89'

M. Isah

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KristiansundBrann

Overview

32%Possession68%

8Total Shots17

1.17Expected Goals (xG)1.95

2Corners8

13Fouls11

Shots

8Total Shots17

3On Target6

2Off Target7

3Blocked4

7Inside Box11

1Outside Box6

Passing

32%Possession68%

280Total Passes623

211Accurate Passes571

75%Pass Accuracy92%

Goalkeeping

4Saves0

Discipline

13Fouls11

4Yellow Cards2

2Offsides1

Eliteserien: Kristiansund BK 2–2 Brann

Kristiansund BK and Brann drew 2-2 in Eliteserien on August 31, 2025.

Goals: S. Magnusson (67', 69' pen), M. Isah (75', 89').

Brann controlled possession (68%) and registered 17 shots to 8.

The match was played at Kristiansund Stadion in Kristiansund.

Kristiansund BK vs Brann — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Kristiansund BK 2–2 Brann