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Konyaspor vs Eyüpspor — League #203 2026

Konyaspor
Konyaspor
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Eyüpspor
Eyüpspor
J. Muleka 90'
M. Altunbas 50'
1/19/2026League #203League #203 · Round 18Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Konyaspor44%
×Draw22%
Eyüpspor34%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Konyaspor
1.86
Eyüpspor
1.61

Konyaspor creates 16% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

creates per match

Konyaspor
1.13
Eyüpspor
1.60

allows per match

Konyaspor
1.63
Eyüpspor
2.60

finishing

Konyaspor+0.00on par
Eyüpspor+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Konyaspor ↓

Eyüpspor →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Konyaspor or draw
66%
Konyaspor or Eyüpspor
78%
Draw or Eyüpspor
56%

Winning margin

Konyaspor wins by 2+
24%
Eyüpspor wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Konyaspor 1+ goals
84%
Konyaspor 2+ goals
55%
Konyaspor 3+ goals
28%
Eyüpspor 1+ goals
80%
Eyüpspor 2+ goals
48%
Eyüpspor 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Konyaspor (draw refunded)
57%
Eyüpspor (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Konyaspor at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Eyüpspor away — creates 1.60, concedes 2.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Konyaspor attack 1.13 + Eyüpspor defence 2.60 → ÷2 → 1.86

Eyüpspor attack 1.60 + Konyaspor defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Konyaspor scores more
44%
level
22%
Eyüpspor scores more
34%

Konyaspor at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Konyaspor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9
D. TurucKonyasporKonyaspor · M
8.2

Match Events

32'
Jérôme Onguene
50'
M. Altunbas
56'
B. Kutlu← M. Jevtovic
56'
A. Bosluk← Guilherme
65'
D. Radu← A. Yavuz
65'
A. Torres← L. Pintor
69'
E. Bardhi← S. Svendsen
77'
Lucas Calegari← M. Altunbas
80'
M. Bostan← Y. Andzouana
83'
C. Raux Yao← M. Legowski
83'
C. Sadia← U. Bozok
90+1'
Baran Ali Gezek
90'
J. Muleka

Possession

70%Konyaspor

Shots

18Konyaspor

Pass accuracy

55%Konyaspor

Statistics

KonyasporEyüpspor
Overview
70%Possession30%
18Total Shots10
2.79Expected Goals (xG)1.12
5Corners2
7Fouls14
Shots
18Total Shots10
4On Target2
6Off Target5
8Blocked3
14Inside Box7
4Outside Box3
Passing
70%Possession30%
562Total Passes249
460Accurate Passes165
82%Pass Accuracy66%
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
0.09Goals Prevented0.09
Discipline
7Fouls14
0Yellow Cards2
4Offsides2

League #203: Konyaspor 1–1 Eyüpspor

Konyaspor and Eyüpspor drew 1-1 in League #203 on January 19, 2026.

Goals: M. Altunbas (50'), J. Muleka (90').

Konyaspor controlled possession (70%) and registered 18 shots to 10.

The match was played at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium in Konya.