Eyüpspor 1–4 Konyaspor: Result & Stats

Eyüpspor

FT

1 – 4

HT: 0 – 3

Konyaspor

H. Akbunar 51'

A. Demirbag 79'

E. Bardhi 33' (pen)

U. Nayir 21', 5'

8/10/2025

League #203 · Round 1Pendik Stadyumu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Eyüpspor36%

×Draw23%

Konyaspor41%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

EyüpsporExpected goals in this matchKonyaspor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.57

1.69

Eyüpspor

1.57

Konyaspor

1.69

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 7 away

1.17

creates per match

1.51

1.88

allows per match

1.97

creates per match

Eyüpspor

1.17

Konyaspor

1.51

allows per match

Eyüpspor

1.88

Konyaspor

1.97

-0.34scores less than expected

finishing

+0.06on par

finishing

Eyüpspor-0.34scores less

Konyaspor+0.06on par

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eyüpspor ↓

Konyaspor →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–17%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

63%37%3.5

41%59%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

Eyüpspor or draw

59%

Eyüpspor or Konyaspor

77%

Draw or Konyaspor

64%

Winning margin

Eyüpspor wins by 2+

17%

Konyaspor wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

Eyüpspor 1+ goals

79%

Eyüpspor 2+ goals

46%

Eyüpspor 3+ goals

21%

Konyaspor 1+ goals

82%

Konyaspor 2+ goals

50%

Konyaspor 3+ goals

24%

Draw no bet

Eyüpspor (draw refunded)

47%

Konyaspor (draw refunded)

53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eyüpspor at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.88 · 6 matches

Konyaspor away — creates 1.51, concedes 1.97 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eyüpspor attack 1.17 + Konyaspor defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.57

Konyaspor attack 1.51 + Eyüpspor defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Eyüpspor scores more

36%

level

23%

Konyaspor scores more

41%

Konyaspor at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Konyaspor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

22

U. Nayir

Konyaspor · F

9.5

Match Events

5'

U. Nayir↳ M. Ibrahimoglu

21'

U. Nayir↳ Y. Andzouana

31'

Alassane NdaoPenalty confirmed

33'

E. BardhiPenalty

46'

Y. Kayan← E. Akbaba

46'

H. Akbunar← T. Ulvan

46'

U. Bozok← M. Kabasakal

48'

Yalçın Kayan

51'

H. Akbunar↳ Y. Kayan

70'

U. Yazgili← R. Bazoer

70'

M. Bjorlo← D. Aleksic

77'

P. O. Ampem← S. Gurler

78'

T. Tasci← A. Ndao

79'

A. Demirbag↳ Guilherme

88'

Pedrinho← E. Bardhi

89'

Kerem Demirbay

90+2'

Bahadır Han Güngördü

90+3'

M. Demir←

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

EyüpsporKonyaspor

Overview

63%Possession37%

16Total Shots16

2.09Expected Goals (xG)2.07

8Corners7

9Fouls12

Shots

16Total Shots16

3On Target5

10Off Target4

3Blocked7

10Inside Box10

6Outside Box6

Passing

63%Possession37%

440Total Passes258

373Accurate Passes184

85%Pass Accuracy71%

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

0.66Goals Prevented0.66

Discipline

9Fouls12

2Yellow Cards1

2Offsides1

Match Recap: Eyüpspor vs Konyaspor

Konyaspor beat Eyüpspor 4-1 in League #203 on August 10, 2025.

Goals: U. Nayir (5', 21'), E. Bardhi (33' pen), H. Akbunar (51'), A. Demirbag (79').

Eyüpspor controlled possession (63%) and registered 16 shots to 16.

The match was played at Pendik Stadyumu in Istanbul.

Eyüpspor vs Konyaspor — League #203 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Eyüpspor vs Konyaspor