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Koforidua vs Inter Allies — Division One League 2025

Koforidua
Koforidua
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Inter Allies
Inter Allies
11/30/2025Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 9

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Koforidua52%
×Draw27%
Inter Allies21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Koforidua
1.44
Inter Allies
0.80

Koforidua creates 80% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Koforidua
1.60
Inter Allies
0.87

allows per match

Koforidua
0.73
Inter Allies
1.27

finishing

Koforidua+0.00on par
Inter Allies+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Koforidua ↓

Inter Allies →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–19%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Koforidua or draw
79%
Koforidua or Inter Allies
73%
Draw or Inter Allies
48%

Winning margin

Koforidua wins by 2+
26%
Inter Allies wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Koforidua 1+ goals
76%
Koforidua 2+ goals
42%
Koforidua 3+ goals
18%
Inter Allies 1+ goals
55%
Inter Allies 2+ goals
19%
Inter Allies 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Koforidua (draw refunded)
71%
Inter Allies (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Koforidua at home — creates 1.60, concedes 0.73 · 15 matches

Inter Allies away — creates 0.87, concedes 1.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Koforidua attack 1.60 + Inter Allies defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.44

Inter Allies attack 0.87 + Koforidua defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Koforidua scores more
52%
level
27%
Inter Allies scores more
21%

Koforidua at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Koforidua will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Koforidua 2–0 Inter Allies

Koforidua beat Inter Allies 2-0 in Division One League on November 30, 2025.