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Kluczbork vs Ślęza Wrocław — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Kluczbork
Kluczbork
FT
5 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Ślęza Wrocław
Ślęza Wrocław
7/11/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Kluczbork67%
×Draw17%
Ślęza Wrocław16%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kluczbork
2.58
Ślęza Wrocław
1.17

Kluczbork creates 121% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 6 away

creates per match

Kluczbork
3.00
Ślęza Wrocław
1.00

allows per match

Kluczbork
1.33
Ślęza Wrocław
2.17

finishing

Kluczbork+0.00on par
Ślęza Wrocław+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kluczbork ↓

Ślęza Wrocław →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–17%
1–24%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Kluczbork or draw
84%
Kluczbork or Ślęza Wrocław
83%
Draw or Ślęza Wrocław
33%

Winning margin

Kluczbork wins by 2+
46%
Ślęza Wrocław wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Kluczbork 1+ goals
92%
Kluczbork 2+ goals
72%
Kluczbork 3+ goals
47%
Ślęza Wrocław 1+ goals
69%
Ślęza Wrocław 2+ goals
33%
Ślęza Wrocław 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Kluczbork (draw refunded)
81%
Ślęza Wrocław (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kluczbork at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

Ślęza Wrocław away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kluczbork attack 3.00 + Ślęza Wrocław defence 2.17 → ÷2 → 2.58

Ślęza Wrocław attack 1.00 + Kluczbork defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

Kluczbork scores more
67%
level
17%
Ślęza Wrocław scores more
16%

Kluczbork at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "Kluczbork will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Kluczbork
Ślęza
L. Ganowicz
Manager: L. Ganowicz
G. Kowalski
Manager: G. Kowalski

Match Recap: Kluczbork vs Ślęza Wrocław

Kluczbork beat Ślęza Wrocław 5-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 11, 2026.