Kitara 0–0 Wakiso Giants: Result & Stats

Kitara

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Wakiso Giants

4/30/2025

Premier League · Round 26The Royals Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Kitara52%

×Draw25%

Wakiso Giants23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KitaraExpected goals in this matchWakiso Giants

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.56

0.95

Kitara

1.56

Wakiso Giants

0.95

Kitara creates 64% more chances

Season form · 58 home / 84 away

1.78

creates per match

0.76

1.14

allows per match

1.35

creates per match

Kitara

1.78

Wakiso Giants

0.76

allows per match

Kitara

1.14

Wakiso Giants

1.35

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kitara+0.00on par

Wakiso Giants+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kitara ↓

Wakiso Giants →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

46%54%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Kitara or draw

77%

Kitara or Wakiso Giants

75%

Draw or Wakiso Giants

48%

Winning margin

Kitara wins by 2+

27%

Wakiso Giants wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Kitara 1+ goals

79%

Kitara 2+ goals

46%

Kitara 3+ goals

21%

Wakiso Giants 1+ goals

61%

Wakiso Giants 2+ goals

25%

Wakiso Giants 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Kitara (draw refunded)

69%

Wakiso Giants (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kitara at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.14 · 58 matches

Wakiso Giants away — creates 0.76, concedes 1.35 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kitara attack 1.78 + Wakiso Giants defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.56

Wakiso Giants attack 0.76 + Kitara defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Kitara scores more

52%

level

25%

Wakiso Giants scores more

23%

Kitara at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Kitara will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff