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Kingsley Westside vs Rockingham City — Western Australia State League 1 2026

Kingsley Westside
Kingsley Westside
FT
2 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Rockingham City
Rockingham City
8/20/2024Western Australia State League 1Western Australia State League 1 · Round 20Chichester Park South Field 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Kingsley Westside57%
×Draw20%
Rockingham City23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kingsley Westside
2.27
Rockingham City
1.40

Kingsley Westside creates 62% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 11 away

creates per match

Kingsley Westside
1.80
Rockingham City
1.27

allows per match

Kingsley Westside
1.53
Rockingham City
2.73

finishing

Kingsley Westside+0.00on par
Rockingham City+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kingsley Westside ↓

Rockingham City →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Kingsley Westside or draw
77%
Kingsley Westside or Rockingham City
80%
Draw or Rockingham City
43%

Winning margin

Kingsley Westside wins by 2+
35%
Rockingham City wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Kingsley Westside 1+ goals
90%
Kingsley Westside 2+ goals
66%
Kingsley Westside 3+ goals
39%
Rockingham City 1+ goals
75%
Rockingham City 2+ goals
41%
Rockingham City 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Kingsley Westside (draw refunded)
71%
Rockingham City (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kingsley Westside at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.53 · 30 matches

Rockingham City away — creates 1.27, concedes 2.73 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kingsley Westside attack 1.80 + Rockingham City defence 2.73 → ÷2 → 2.27

Rockingham City attack 1.27 + Kingsley Westside defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Kingsley Westside scores more
57%
level
20%
Rockingham City scores more
23%

Kingsley Westside at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Kingsley Westside will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Kingsley Westside vs Rockingham City

Kingsley Westside beat Rockingham City 2-1 in Western Australia State League 1 on August 20, 2024.

The match was played at Chichester Park South Field 2 in Woodvale.