Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Kingsley Westside vs ECU Joondalup — Western Australia State League 1 2026

Kingsley Westside
Kingsley Westside
FT
3 – 3
HT: 2 – 1
ECU Joondalup
ECU Joondalup
7/13/2024Western Australia State League 1Western Australia State League 1 · Round 15Chichester Park A

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Kingsley Westside57%
×Draw18%
ECU Joondalup25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kingsley Westside
2.72
ECU Joondalup
1.77

Kingsley Westside creates 54% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 11 away

creates per match

Kingsley Westside
1.80
ECU Joondalup
2.00

allows per match

Kingsley Westside
1.53
ECU Joondalup
3.64

finishing

Kingsley Westside+0.00on par
ECU Joondalup+0.00on par

Total goals

82%Over
  • Over82
  • Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kingsley Westside ↓

ECU Joondalup →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
82%18%3.5
65%35%4.5
45%55%

Double chance

Kingsley Westside or draw
75%
Kingsley Westside or ECU Joondalup
82%
Draw or ECU Joondalup
43%

Winning margin

Kingsley Westside wins by 2+
37%
ECU Joondalup wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Kingsley Westside 1+ goals
93%
Kingsley Westside 2+ goals
75%
Kingsley Westside 3+ goals
50%
ECU Joondalup 1+ goals
83%
ECU Joondalup 2+ goals
53%
ECU Joondalup 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Kingsley Westside (draw refunded)
70%
ECU Joondalup (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kingsley Westside at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.53 · 30 matches

ECU Joondalup away — creates 2.00, concedes 3.64 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kingsley Westside attack 1.80 + ECU Joondalup defence 3.64 → ÷2 → 2.72

ECU Joondalup attack 2.00 + Kingsley Westside defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Kingsley Westside scores more
57%
level
18%
ECU Joondalup scores more
25%

Kingsley Westside at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Kingsley Westside will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Kingsley Westside vs ECU Joondalup

Kingsley Westside and ECU Joondalup drew 3-3 in Western Australia State League 1 on July 13, 2024.

The match was played at Chichester Park A in Woodvale.