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Kickers Offenbach U19 vs Stuttgart U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Kickers Offenbach U19
Kickers Offenbach U19
FT
1 – 6
HT: 1 – 4
Stuttgart U19
Stuttgart U19
C. Bah 23'
C. Kroll-Thiel 72'
M. Tsigkas 62', 29', 8', 2'
E. Redzepi 15'
9/13/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 6SANA Sportpark

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 48+ matches

Kickers Offenbach U1921%
×Draw18%
Stuttgart U1960%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 577,134 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.8% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kickers Offenbach U19
1.52
Stuttgart U19
2.60

Stuttgart U19 creates 71% more chances

Season form · 48 home / 74 away

creates per match

Kickers Offenbach U19
1.77
Stuttgart U19
2.74

allows per match

Kickers Offenbach U19
2.46
Stuttgart U19
1.27

finishing

Kickers Offenbach U19+0.00on par
Stuttgart U19+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kickers Offenbach U19 ↓

Stuttgart U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–26%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–29%
1–37%
1–45%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
77%23%3.5
58%42%4.5
38%62%

Double chance

Kickers Offenbach U19 or draw
40%
Kickers Offenbach U19 or Stuttgart U19
82%
Draw or Stuttgart U19
79%

Winning margin

Kickers Offenbach U19 wins by 2+
9%
Stuttgart U19 wins by 2+
40%

Team goals

Kickers Offenbach U19 1+ goals
78%
Kickers Offenbach U19 2+ goals
45%
Kickers Offenbach U19 3+ goals
20%
Stuttgart U19 1+ goals
92%
Stuttgart U19 2+ goals
73%
Stuttgart U19 3+ goals
47%

Draw no bet

Kickers Offenbach U19 (draw refunded)
26%
Stuttgart U19 (draw refunded)
74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kickers Offenbach U19 at home — creates 1.77, concedes 2.46 · 48 matches

Stuttgart U19 away — creates 2.74, concedes 1.27 · 74 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kickers Offenbach U19 attack 1.77 + Stuttgart U19 defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.52

Stuttgart U19 attack 2.74 + Kickers Offenbach U19 defence 2.46 → ÷2 → 2.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Kickers Offenbach U19 scores more
21%
level
18%
Stuttgart U19 scores more
60%

Stuttgart U19 at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Stuttgart U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

2'
M. Tsigkas
8'
M. Tsigkas
15'
E. Redzepi
23'
C. Bah
29'
M. Tsigkas
62'
M. Tsigkas
72'
C. Kroll-Thiel

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

U19 Bundesliga: Kickers Offenbach U19 1–6 Stuttgart U19

Stuttgart U19 beat Kickers Offenbach U19 6-1 in U19 Bundesliga on September 13, 2025.

Goals: M. Tsigkas (2', 8', 29', 62'), E. Redzepi (15'), C. Bah (23'), C. Kroll-Thiel (72').

The match was played at SANA Sportpark in Offenbach.