Kickers Offenbach U19 7–3 Sportfreunde Siegen U19

Kickers Offenbach U19

FT

7 – 3

HT: 4 – 2

Sportfreunde Siegen U19

R. Mben Bata 90+1' (pen), 77', 73'

T. Reuter 42'

R. Zablotzky 37', 10'

C. Fernandez 22'

J. Adozi 63', 21'

B. Angong 23'

4/12/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 10SANA-Sportpark Platz 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Kickers Offenbach U1953%

×Draw18%

Sportfreunde Siegen U1929%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kickers Offenbach U19Expected goals in this matchSportfreunde Siegen U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.96

2.23

Kickers Offenbach U19

2.96

Sportfreunde Siegen U19

2.23

Kickers Offenbach U19 creates 33% more chances

Season form · 48 home / 7 away

1.77

creates per match

2.00

2.46

allows per match

4.14

creates per match

Kickers Offenbach U19

1.77

Sportfreunde Siegen U19

2.00

allows per match

Kickers Offenbach U19

2.46

Sportfreunde Siegen U19

4.14

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kickers Offenbach U19+0.00on par

Sportfreunde Siegen U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over89
Under11

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes84
No16

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kickers Offenbach U19 ↓

Sportfreunde Siegen U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–11%

0–21%

0–31%

0–41%

1

1–02%

1–14%

1–24%

1–33%

1–42%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–26%

2–35%

2–43%

3

3–03%

3–16%

3–26%

3–35%

3–43%

4

4–02%

4–14%

4–25%

4–33%

4–42%

Most likely 2–1 (6%) · grid covers 79% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

96%4%2.5

89%11%3.5

75%25%4.5

58%42%

Double chance

Kickers Offenbach U19 or draw

71%

Kickers Offenbach U19 or Sportfreunde Siegen U19

82%

Draw or Sportfreunde Siegen U19

47%

Winning margin

Kickers Offenbach U19 wins by 2+

34%

Sportfreunde Siegen U19 wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Kickers Offenbach U19 1+ goals

95%

Kickers Offenbach U19 2+ goals

79%

Kickers Offenbach U19 3+ goals

55%

Sportfreunde Siegen U19 1+ goals

89%

Sportfreunde Siegen U19 2+ goals

65%

Sportfreunde Siegen U19 3+ goals

38%

Draw no bet

Kickers Offenbach U19 (draw refunded)

64%

Sportfreunde Siegen U19 (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

81%

Both score & under 3

4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kickers Offenbach U19 at home — creates 1.77, concedes 2.46 · 48 matches

Sportfreunde Siegen U19 away — creates 2.00, concedes 4.14 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kickers Offenbach U19 attack 1.77 + Sportfreunde Siegen U19 defence 4.14 → ÷2 → 2.96

Sportfreunde Siegen U19 attack 2.00 + Kickers Offenbach U19 defence 2.46 → ÷2 → 2.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Kickers Offenbach U19 scores more

53%

level

18%

Sportfreunde Siegen U19 scores more

29%

Kickers Offenbach U19 at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Kickers Offenbach U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'

21'

22'

23'

37'

42'

56'

63'

66'

G. Franco← A. Pistritto

66'

M. Mehl← T. Reuter

66'

R. Mben Bata← R. Zablotzky

73'

L. Meyer← D. Omeragic

73'

Y. El Ayouchi← M. Zilz

73'

R. Mben Bata

77'

R. Mben Bata

81'

D. Adrovic← Imad

81'

D. Osawaru← T. Gutsch

81'

J. Ghira← H. El Chaabi

88'

B. Özcelik← O. Yarbo

88'

F. Stoehr← C. Fernandez

88'

S. Bouzarzar← H. Uhumwangho

90+1'

R. Mben BataPenalty

Kickers

Sportfreunde

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽2

⚽

▼

Angong

Tatomirov

Delikaya

⚽

▼

Fernandez

Karacaga

▼

Pistritto

⚽

▼

Reuter

Alcazar

▼

Uhumwangh

⚽2

▼

Zablotzky

▼

Yarbo

Bah

Manager: S. Stuppia

66'▲G. Franco←▼A. Pistritto

66'▲M. Mehl←▼T. Reuter

66'▲R. Mben Bata←▼R. Zablotzky

88'▲B. Özcelik←▼O. Yarbo

88'▲F. Stoehr←▼C. Fernandez

88'▲S. Bouzarzar←▼H. Uhumwangho

Kickers Offenbach U19 substitutes

FrancoMehlBataÖzcelikStoehrBouzarzarFilipović

Manager: M. Aslan

56'▲H. Nakai←▼B. Angong

73'▲L. Meyer←▼D. Omeragic

73'▲Y. El Ayouchi←▼M. Zilz

81'▲D. Adrovic←▼Imad

81'▲D. Osawaru←▼T. Gutsch

81'▲J. Ghira←▼H. El Chaabi

Sportfreunde Siegen U19 substitutes

NakaiMeyerAyouchiAdrovicOsawaruGhiraEngel

Match Recap: Kickers Offenbach U19 vs Sportfreunde Siegen U19

Kickers Offenbach U19 beat Sportfreunde Siegen U19 7-3 in U19 Bundesliga on April 12, 2025.

Goals: R. Zablotzky (10', 37'), J. Adozi (21', 63'), C. Fernandez (22'), B. Angong (23'), T. Reuter (42'), R. Mben Bata (73', 77', 90+1' pen).

The match was played at SANA-Sportpark Platz 3 in Offenbach am Main.

Kickers Offenbach U19 vs Sportfreunde Siegen U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Kickers Offenbach U19 vs Sportfreunde Siegen U19