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Kick Start vs Brittons Hill — Premier League 2026

Kick Start
Kick Start
FT
3 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Brittons Hill
Brittons Hill
3/15/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 10

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Kick Start50%
×Draw19%
Brittons Hill30%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kick Start
2.46
Brittons Hill
1.89

Kick Start creates 30% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 14 away

creates per match

Kick Start
2.86
Brittons Hill
2.21

allows per match

Kick Start
1.57
Brittons Hill
2.07

finishing

Kick Start+0.00on par
Brittons Hill+0.00on par

Total goals

81%Over
  • Over81
  • Under19

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kick Start ↓

Brittons Hill →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
81%19%3.5
63%37%4.5
43%57%

Double chance

Kick Start or draw
70%
Kick Start or Brittons Hill
81%
Draw or Brittons Hill
50%

Winning margin

Kick Start wins by 2+
31%
Brittons Hill wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Kick Start 1+ goals
91%
Kick Start 2+ goals
70%
Kick Start 3+ goals
44%
Brittons Hill 1+ goals
85%
Brittons Hill 2+ goals
56%
Brittons Hill 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Kick Start (draw refunded)
63%
Brittons Hill (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kick Start at home — creates 2.86, concedes 1.57 · 14 matches

Brittons Hill away — creates 2.21, concedes 2.07 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kick Start attack 2.86 + Brittons Hill defence 2.07 → ÷2 → 2.46

Brittons Hill attack 2.21 + Kick Start defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Kick Start scores more
50%
level
19%
Brittons Hill scores more
30%

Kick Start at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Kick Start will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Kick Start 3–1 Brittons Hill

Kick Start beat Brittons Hill 3-1 in Premier League on March 15, 2026.