Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

KI Klaksvik vs Olimpija Ljubljana — UEFA Europa Conference League 2021

KI Klaksvik
KI Klaksvik
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana
J. Andreasen 54'
P. Klettskarð 44'
R. Joensen 30'
10/26/2023UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League · Group Stage - 3Tórsvøllur

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

KI Klaksvik55%
×Draw27%
Olimpija Ljubljana18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

KI Klaksvik
1.46
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.72

KI Klaksvik creates 103% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 14 away

creates per match

KI Klaksvik
1.50
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.93

allows per match

KI Klaksvik
0.50
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.43

finishing

KI Klaksvik+0.00on par
Olimpija Ljubljana+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KI Klaksvik ↓

Olimpija Ljubljana →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

KI Klaksvik or draw
82%
KI Klaksvik or Olimpija Ljubljana
73%
Draw or Olimpija Ljubljana
45%

Winning margin

KI Klaksvik wins by 2+
28%
Olimpija Ljubljana wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

KI Klaksvik 1+ goals
77%
KI Klaksvik 2+ goals
43%
KI Klaksvik 3+ goals
18%
Olimpija Ljubljana 1+ goals
51%
Olimpija Ljubljana 2+ goals
16%
Olimpija Ljubljana 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

KI Klaksvik (draw refunded)
75%
Olimpija Ljubljana (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KI Klaksvik at home — creates 1.50, concedes 0.50 · 8 matches

Olimpija Ljubljana away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.43 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KI Klaksvik attack 1.50 + Olimpija Ljubljana defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.46

Olimpija Ljubljana attack 0.93 + KI Klaksvik defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

KI Klaksvik scores more
55%
level
27%
Olimpija Ljubljana scores more
18%

KI Klaksvik at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "KI Klaksvik will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7
Á. FrederiksbergKI KlaksvikKI Klaksvik · M
8.6

Match Events

30'
R. Joensen↳ Á. Frederiksberg
32'
Nemanja Motika
37'
Saar Fadida
44'
P. Klettskarð↳ J. Danielsen
46'
M. Brest← S. Fadida
54'
J. Andreasen↳ Á. Frederiksberg
57'
A. Bristrić← M. Nukić
57'
Jorge Silva← J. Lasickas
62'
H. Hánsson← D. Pavlović
62'
C. Kronberg← P. da Silva
65'
R. Kasa← Nemanja Motika
72'
B. Petersen← H. Vatnsdal
72'
S. Gussiås← P. Klettskarð
75'
Diogo Pinto← A. Doffo
78'
Admir Bristrić
83'
M. Mikkelsen← J. Danielsen

Possession

45%KI

Shots

8KI

Pass accuracy

48%KI

Statistics

KIOlimpija
Overview
45%Possession55%
8Total Shots13
1.79Expected Goals (xG)0.84
2Corners8
8Fouls13
Shots
8Total Shots13
4On Target4
2Off Target5
2Blocked4
6Inside Box7
2Outside Box6
Passing
45%Possession55%
407Total Passes491
307Accurate Passes400
75%Pass Accuracy81%
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
Discipline
8Fouls13
0Yellow Cards3
1Offsides8

Match Recap: KI Klaksvik vs Olimpija Ljubljana

KI Klaksvik beat Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 in UEFA Europa Conference League on October 26, 2023.

Goals: R. Joensen (30'), P. Klettskarð (44'), J. Andreasen (54').

Olimpija Ljubljana controlled possession (55%) and registered 13 shots to 8.

The match was played at Tórsvøllur in Tórshavn, Streymoy.