KI Klaksvik 0–0 HB Torshavn: Result & Stats

KI Klaksvik

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

HB Torshavn

8/24/2025

Meistaradeildin · Round 20Við Djúpumýrar

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 101+ matches

KI Klaksvik50%

×Draw22%

HB Torshavn28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KI KlaksvikExpected goals in this matchHB Torshavn

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.92

1.40

KI Klaksvik

1.92

HB Torshavn

1.40

KI Klaksvik creates 37% more chances

Season form · 101 home / 103 away

2.80

creates per match

2.18

0.62

allows per match

1.05

creates per match

KI Klaksvik

2.80

HB Torshavn

2.18

allows per match

KI Klaksvik

0.62

HB Torshavn

1.05

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

KI Klaksvik+0.00on par

HB Torshavn+0.00on par

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KI Klaksvik ↓

HB Torshavn →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

42%58%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

KI Klaksvik or draw

72%

KI Klaksvik or HB Torshavn

78%

Draw or HB Torshavn

50%

Winning margin

KI Klaksvik wins by 2+

28%

HB Torshavn wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

KI Klaksvik 1+ goals

85%

KI Klaksvik 2+ goals

57%

KI Klaksvik 3+ goals

30%

HB Torshavn 1+ goals

75%

HB Torshavn 2+ goals

41%

HB Torshavn 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

KI Klaksvik (draw refunded)

64%

HB Torshavn (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KI Klaksvik at home — creates 2.80, concedes 0.62 · 101 matches

HB Torshavn away — creates 2.18, concedes 1.05 · 103 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KI Klaksvik attack 2.80 + HB Torshavn defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.92

HB Torshavn attack 2.18 + KI Klaksvik defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

KI Klaksvik scores more

50%

level

22%

HB Torshavn scores more

28%

KI Klaksvik at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "KI Klaksvik will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

42'

A. Johannesen← V. Davidsen

46'

P. Johannesen← H. Hansson

67'

L. Faye

71'

A. Jonsson← M. Voss

71'

J. Thomsen← J. Thomsen

81'

M. Gonzalez← R. Joensen

87'

B. Klein← E. Pedersen

89'

D. Andreasen← O. Faero

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff