HB Torshavn 1–2 KI Klaksvik: Result & Stats

HB Torshavn

FT

1 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

KI Klaksvik

S. Skytte 82'

P. Klettskarð 90+2'

P. Johannesen 14'

4/7/2025

Løgmanssteypid · Round of 16Gundadalur

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

HB Torshavn35%

×Draw21%

KI Klaksvik44%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HB TorshavnExpected goals in this matchKI Klaksvik

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.82

2.06

HB Torshavn

1.82

KI Klaksvik

2.06

KI Klaksvik creates 13% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 8 away

2.64

creates per match

3.25

0.86

allows per match

1.00

creates per match

HB Torshavn

2.64

KI Klaksvik

3.25

allows per match

HB Torshavn

0.86

KI Klaksvik

1.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

HB Torshavn+0.00on par

KI Klaksvik+0.00on par

Total goals

Over74
Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes73
No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

HB Torshavn ↓

KI Klaksvik →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–24%

0–33%

0–42%

1

1–04%

1–18%

1–28%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–03%

2–17%

2–27%

2–35%

2–43%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–33%

3–42%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

90%10%2.5

74%26%3.5

54%46%4.5

34%66%

Double chance

HB Torshavn or draw

56%

HB Torshavn or KI Klaksvik

79%

Draw or KI Klaksvik

65%

Winning margin

HB Torshavn wins by 2+

18%

KI Klaksvik wins by 2+

25%

Team goals

HB Torshavn 1+ goals

84%

HB Torshavn 2+ goals

54%

HB Torshavn 3+ goals

27%

KI Klaksvik 1+ goals

87%

KI Klaksvik 2+ goals

61%

KI Klaksvik 3+ goals

34%

Draw no bet

HB Torshavn (draw refunded)

44%

KI Klaksvik (draw refunded)

56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

65%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

HB Torshavn at home — creates 2.64, concedes 0.86 · 14 matches

KI Klaksvik away — creates 3.25, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

HB Torshavn attack 2.64 + KI Klaksvik defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.82

KI Klaksvik attack 3.25 + HB Torshavn defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 2.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

HB Torshavn scores more

35%

level

21%

KI Klaksvik scores more

44%

KI Klaksvik at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "KI Klaksvik will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

14'

21'

52'

55'

55'

62'

62'

J. Thomsen← K. Kramēns

62'

L. Guttesen← E. Pedersen

62'

R. Joensen← F. Brattbakk

68'

S. Skytte← J. Enkerud

82'

S. Skytte

85'

D. Andreasen← H. Hánsson

90+4'

A. Frederiksberg

90+5'

D. Andreasen

90+6'

J. Johannessen← Á. Frederiksberg

90+2'

P. Klettskarð

HB

KI

▼

▼

⚽

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: A. Sormani

62'▲J. Thomsen←▼K. Kramēns

62'▲L. Guttesen←▼E. Pedersen

68'▲S. Skytte←▼J. Enkerud

HB Torshavn substitutes

ThomsenGuttesenSkytteKleinMørkÓsáJoensen

Manager: M. Powell

62'▲R. Joensen←▼F. Brattbakk

85'▲D. Andreasen←▼H. Hánsson

90+6'▲J. Johannessen←▼Á. Frederiksberg

KI Klaksvik substitutes

JoensenAndreasenJohannessenLaminGonzálezJensenMikkelsen

Løgmanssteypid: HB Torshavn 1–2 KI Klaksvik

KI Klaksvik beat HB Torshavn 2-1 in Løgmanssteypid on April 7, 2025.

Goals: P. Johannesen (14'), S. Skytte (82'), P. Klettskarð (90+2').

The match was played at Gundadalur in Tórshavn, Streymoy.

HB Torshavn vs KI Klaksvik — Løgmanssteypid 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Løgmanssteypid: HB Torshavn 1–2 KI Klaksvik