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KI Klaksvik vs B36 Torshavn — Løgmanssteypid 2019

KI Klaksvik
KI Klaksvikadvanced
Pens
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
B36 Torshavn
B36 Torshavn
4/21/2025LøgmanssteypidLøgmanssteypid · Quarter-finalsVið Djúpumýrar

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

KI Klaksvik46%
×Draw21%
B36 Torshavn32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

KI Klaksvik
2.02
B36 Torshavn
1.67

KI Klaksvik creates 21% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 9 away

creates per match

KI Klaksvik
2.60
B36 Torshavn
2.44

allows per match

KI Klaksvik
0.90
B36 Torshavn
1.44

finishing

KI Klaksvik+0.00on par
B36 Torshavn+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KI Klaksvik ↓

B36 Torshavn →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

KI Klaksvik or draw
68%
KI Klaksvik or B36 Torshavn
79%
Draw or B36 Torshavn
54%

Winning margin

KI Klaksvik wins by 2+
26%
B36 Torshavn wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

KI Klaksvik 1+ goals
87%
KI Klaksvik 2+ goals
60%
KI Klaksvik 3+ goals
33%
B36 Torshavn 1+ goals
81%
B36 Torshavn 2+ goals
50%
B36 Torshavn 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

KI Klaksvik (draw refunded)
59%
B36 Torshavn (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KI Klaksvik at home — creates 2.60, concedes 0.90 · 10 matches

B36 Torshavn away — creates 2.44, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KI Klaksvik attack 2.60 + B36 Torshavn defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 2.02

B36 Torshavn attack 2.44 + KI Klaksvik defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

KI Klaksvik scores more
46%
level
21%
B36 Torshavn scores more
32%

KI Klaksvik at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "KI Klaksvik will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: KI Klaksvik vs B36 Torshavn

KI Klaksvik and B36 Torshavn drew 1-1 in Løgmanssteypid on April 21, 2025.

The match was played at Við Djúpumýrar in Klaksvík, Borðoy.