B36 Torshavn 1–1 KI Klaksvik: Result & Stats

B36 Torshavn

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

KI Klaksvik

5/9/2026

Meistaradeildin · Round 9Gundadalur

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 103+ matches

B36 Torshavn27%

×Draw22%

KI Klaksvik50%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

B36 TorshavnExpected goals in this matchKI Klaksvik

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.35

1.90

B36 Torshavn

1.35

KI Klaksvik

1.90

KI Klaksvik creates 41% more chances

Season form · 103 home / 104 away

2.01

creates per match

2.64

1.16

allows per match

0.70

creates per match

B36 Torshavn

2.01

KI Klaksvik

2.64

allows per match

B36 Torshavn

1.16

KI Klaksvik

0.70

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

B36 Torshavn+0.00on par

KI Klaksvik+0.00on par

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

B36 Torshavn ↓

KI Klaksvik →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–17%

0–27%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–05%

1–110%

1–29%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–26%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

63%37%3.5

41%59%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

B36 Torshavn or draw

50%

B36 Torshavn or KI Klaksvik

78%

Draw or KI Klaksvik

73%

Winning margin

B36 Torshavn wins by 2+

12%

KI Klaksvik wins by 2+

28%

Team goals

B36 Torshavn 1+ goals

74%

B36 Torshavn 2+ goals

39%

B36 Torshavn 3+ goals

15%

KI Klaksvik 1+ goals

85%

KI Klaksvik 2+ goals

56%

KI Klaksvik 3+ goals

29%

Draw no bet

B36 Torshavn (draw refunded)

35%

KI Klaksvik (draw refunded)

65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

B36 Torshavn at home — creates 2.01, concedes 1.16 · 103 matches

KI Klaksvik away — creates 2.64, concedes 0.70 · 104 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

B36 Torshavn attack 2.01 + KI Klaksvik defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 1.35

KI Klaksvik attack 2.64 + B36 Torshavn defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

B36 Torshavn scores more

27%

level

22%

KI Klaksvik scores more

50%

KI Klaksvik at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "KI Klaksvik will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff