KFUM Oslo 0–0 ODD Ballklubb: Result & Stats

KFUM Oslo

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

ODD Ballklubb

5/20/2024

Eliteserien · Round 9KFUM Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 16+ matches

KFUM Oslo57%

×Draw23%

ODD Ballklubb20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KFUM OsloExpected goals in this matchODD Ballklubb

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.82

0.98

KFUM Oslo

1.82

ODD Ballklubb

0.98

KFUM Oslo creates 86% more chances

Season form · 27 home / 16 away

1.42

creates per match

0.94

1.02

allows per match

2.22

creates per match

KFUM Oslo

1.42

ODD Ballklubb

0.94

allows per match

KFUM Oslo

1.02

ODD Ballklubb

2.22

-0.16scores less than expected

finishing

+0.12scores more than expected

finishing

KFUM Oslo-0.16scores less

ODD Ballklubb+0.12scores more

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KFUM Oslo ↓

ODD Ballklubb →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

KFUM Oslo or draw

80%

KFUM Oslo or ODD Ballklubb

77%

Draw or ODD Ballklubb

43%

Winning margin

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

33%

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

84%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

54%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

27%

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals

62%

ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals

26%

ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

74%

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)

26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KFUM Oslo at home — creates 1.42, concedes 1.02 · 27 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 0.94, concedes 2.22 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KFUM Oslo attack 1.42 + ODD Ballklubb defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 1.82

ODD Ballklubb attack 0.94 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

KFUM Oslo scores more

57%

level

23%

ODD Ballklubb scores more

20%

KFUM Oslo at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "KFUM Oslo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

2

E. Ruud

ODD Ballklubb · D

7.6

Match Events

30'

Ole Erik Midtskogen

34'

Haitam Aleesami

37'

David Hickson Gyedu

54'

A. Nouri← S. Akinyemi

61'

F. Tewelde← B. Bang-Kittelsen

63'

T. Haltvik← R. Svindland

63'

S. Sandal← S. Hestnes

74'

77'

85'

85'

90+1'

90+2'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KFUMODD

Overview

65%Possession35%

12Total Shots6

1.96Expected Goals (xG)0.43

6Corners5

22Fouls10

Shots

12Total Shots6

1On Target2

5Off Target3

6Blocked1

8Inside Box5

4Outside Box1

Passing

65%Possession35%

493Total Passes271

437Accurate Passes207

89%Pass Accuracy76%

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

Discipline

22Fouls10

3Yellow Cards2

3Offsides0

Match Recap: KFUM Oslo vs ODD Ballklubb

KFUM Oslo and ODD Ballklubb drew 0-0 in Eliteserien on May 20, 2024.

KFUM Oslo controlled possession (65%) and registered 12 shots to 6.

The match was played at KFUM Arena in Oslo.

KFUM Oslo vs ODD Ballklubb — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: KFUM Oslo vs ODD Ballklubb