KFUM Oslo 2–0 Brann: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

KFUM Oslo

FT

2 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Brann

D. Hickson 45'

J. Nunez 31'

7/19/2025

Eliteserien · Round 14KFUM Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 34+ matches

KFUM Oslo39%

×Draw26%

Brann35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KFUM OsloExpected goals in this matchBrann

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.40

1.31

KFUM Oslo

1.40

Brann

1.31

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 34 home / 38 away

1.40

creates per match

1.60

1.03

allows per match

1.41

creates per match

KFUM Oslo

1.40

Brann

1.60

allows per match

KFUM Oslo

1.03

Brann

1.41

-0.11scores less than expected

finishing

+0.14scores more than expected

finishing

KFUM Oslo-0.11scores less

Brann+0.14scores more

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KFUM Oslo ↓

Brann →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

KFUM Oslo or draw

65%

KFUM Oslo or Brann

74%

Draw or Brann

61%

Winning margin

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

18%

Brann wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

75%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

41%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

17%

Brann 1+ goals

73%

Brann 2+ goals

38%

Brann 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

53%

Brann (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KFUM Oslo at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.03 · 34 matches

Brann away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.41 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KFUM Oslo attack 1.40 + Brann defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.40

Brann attack 1.60 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

KFUM Oslo scores more

39%

level

26%

Brann scores more

35%

KFUM Oslo at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "KFUM Oslo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

J. Nunez

KFUM Oslo · F

8.2

Match Events

31'

J. Nunez↳ J. Hjorth

45'

D. Hickson↳ J. Nunez

50'

Eggert Aron Guðmundsson

55'

Emil Kornvig

58'

S. Magnusson← B. Finne

58'

M. Sande← U. Mathisen

58'

M. Haaland← M. Hansen

59'

62'

68'

69'

69'

T. Pedersen← R. Holten

74'

Daniel Schneider

74'

Daniel Schneider

77'

M. Njie← M. Tonnessen

77'

F. Berglie← D. Hickson

81'

Eivind Helland

81'

J. Sorensen← D. De Roeve

82'

Jacob Lungi Sørensen

90+7'

Eivind Helland

90+7'

Eivind Helland

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KFUMBrann

Overview

45%Possession55%

10Total Shots14

1.99Expected Goals (xG)1.35

4Corners11

9Fouls14

Shots

10Total Shots14

3On Target0

5Off Target7

2Blocked7

7Inside Box11

3Outside Box3

Passing

45%Possession55%

365Total Passes446

289Accurate Passes356

79%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

0Saves1

Discipline

9Fouls14

2Yellow Cards5

1Red Cards1

1Offsides0

Match Recap: KFUM Oslo vs Brann

KFUM Oslo beat Brann 2-0 in Eliteserien on July 19, 2025.

Goals: J. Nunez (31'), D. Hickson (45').

Brann controlled possession (55%) and registered 14 shots to 10.

The match was played at KFUM Arena in Oslo.

KFUM Oslo vs Brann — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: KFUM Oslo vs Brann