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Karlsruher SC vs Eintracht Braunschweig — 2. Bundesliga 2018

Karlsruher SC
Karlsruher SC
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig
8/23/20252. Bundesliga2. Bundesliga · Round 3BBBank Wildpark

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 87+ matches

Karlsruher SC54%
×Draw22%
Eintracht Braunschweig24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Karlsruher SC
1.90
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.19

Karlsruher SC creates 60% more chances

Season form · 119 home / 87 away

creates per match

Karlsruher SC
1.80
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.94

allows per match

Karlsruher SC
1.45
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.99

finishing

Karlsruher SC+0.00on par
Eintracht Braunschweig+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Karlsruher SC ↓

Eintracht Braunschweig →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Karlsruher SC or draw
76%
Karlsruher SC or Eintracht Braunschweig
78%
Draw or Eintracht Braunschweig
46%

Winning margin

Karlsruher SC wins by 2+
31%
Eintracht Braunschweig wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Karlsruher SC 1+ goals
85%
Karlsruher SC 2+ goals
56%
Karlsruher SC 3+ goals
29%
Eintracht Braunschweig 1+ goals
70%
Eintracht Braunschweig 2+ goals
33%
Eintracht Braunschweig 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Karlsruher SC (draw refunded)
69%
Eintracht Braunschweig (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Karlsruher SC at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.45 · 119 matches

Eintracht Braunschweig away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.99 · 87 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Karlsruher SC attack 1.80 + Eintracht Braunschweig defence 1.99 → ÷2 → 1.90

Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.94 + Karlsruher SC defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Karlsruher SC scores more
54%
level
22%
Eintracht Braunschweig scores more
24%

Karlsruher SC at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Karlsruher SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

2. Bundesliga: Karlsruher SC 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig

Karlsruher SC beat Eintracht Braunschweig 2-0 in 2. Bundesliga on August 23, 2025.

The match was played at BBBank Wildpark in Karlsruhe.