Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Karlsruher SC U19 vs Kaiserslautern U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Karlsruher SC U19
Karlsruher SC U19
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Kaiserslautern U19
Kaiserslautern U19
11/30/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 13Badenia Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 59+ matches

Karlsruher SC U1952%
×Draw21%
Kaiserslautern U1927%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Karlsruher SC U19
2.17
Kaiserslautern U19
1.52

Karlsruher SC U19 creates 43% more chances

Season form · 70 home / 59 away

creates per match

Karlsruher SC U19
2.07
Kaiserslautern U19
1.66

allows per match

Karlsruher SC U19
1.37
Kaiserslautern U19
2.27

finishing

Karlsruher SC U19+0.00on par
Kaiserslautern U19+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Karlsruher SC U19 ↓

Kaiserslautern U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Karlsruher SC U19 or draw
73%
Karlsruher SC U19 or Kaiserslautern U19
79%
Draw or Kaiserslautern U19
48%

Winning margin

Karlsruher SC U19 wins by 2+
31%
Kaiserslautern U19 wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Karlsruher SC U19 1+ goals
89%
Karlsruher SC U19 2+ goals
64%
Karlsruher SC U19 3+ goals
36%
Kaiserslautern U19 1+ goals
78%
Kaiserslautern U19 2+ goals
45%
Kaiserslautern U19 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Karlsruher SC U19 (draw refunded)
66%
Kaiserslautern U19 (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Karlsruher SC U19 at home — creates 2.07, concedes 1.37 · 70 matches

Kaiserslautern U19 away — creates 1.66, concedes 2.27 · 59 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Karlsruher SC U19 attack 2.07 + Kaiserslautern U19 defence 2.27 → ÷2 → 2.17

Kaiserslautern U19 attack 1.66 + Karlsruher SC U19 defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Karlsruher SC U19 scores more
52%
level
21%
Kaiserslautern U19 scores more
27%

Karlsruher SC U19 at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Karlsruher SC U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

U19 Bundesliga: Karlsruher SC U19 1–2 Kaiserslautern U19

Kaiserslautern U19 beat Karlsruher SC U19 2-1 in U19 Bundesliga on November 30, 2025.

The match was played at Badenia Stadion in Karlsruhe.