Karaköprü Belediyespor 0–0 Kırşehir Belediyespor

Karaköprü Belediyespor

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Kırşehir Belediyespor

9/13/2025

League #553 · Group 2 - 2Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Karaköprü Belediyespor43%

×Draw25%

Kırşehir Belediyespor32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Karaköprü BelediyesporExpected goals in this matchKırşehir Belediyespor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.55

1.31

Karaköprü Belediyespor

1.55

Kırşehir Belediyespor

1.31

Karaköprü Belediyespor creates 18% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 4 away

1.60

creates per match

1.50

1.13

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

Karaköprü Belediyespor

1.60

Kırşehir Belediyespor

1.50

allows per match

Karaköprü Belediyespor

1.13

Kırşehir Belediyespor

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Karaköprü Belediyespor+0.00on par

Kırşehir Belediyespor+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Karaköprü Belediyespor ↓

Kırşehir Belediyespor →

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Karaköprü Belediyespor or draw

68%

Karaköprü Belediyespor or Kırşehir Belediyespor

75%

Draw or Kırşehir Belediyespor

57%

Winning margin

Karaköprü Belediyespor wins by 2+

21%

Kırşehir Belediyespor wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Karaköprü Belediyespor 1+ goals

79%

Karaköprü Belediyespor 2+ goals

46%

Karaköprü Belediyespor 3+ goals

20%

Kırşehir Belediyespor 1+ goals

73%

Kırşehir Belediyespor 2+ goals

38%

Kırşehir Belediyespor 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Karaköprü Belediyespor (draw refunded)

57%

Kırşehir Belediyespor (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Karaköprü Belediyespor at home — creates 1.60, concedes 1.13 · 15 matches

Kırşehir Belediyespor away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Karaköprü Belediyespor attack 1.60 + Kırşehir Belediyespor defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.55

Kırşehir Belediyespor attack 1.50 + Karaköprü Belediyespor defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 43%?"

Karaköprü Belediyespor scores more

43%

level

25%

Kırşehir Belediyespor scores more

32%

Karaköprü Belediyespor at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Karaköprü Belediyespor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

46'

57'

61'

67'

76'

A. Bel← H. Türkyılmaz

80'

Ç. Şendur← H. Öztürk

83'

G. Demirel← B. Aksoy

Karaköprü

Kırşehir

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Ahmet Yavuz

57'▲F. Gök←▼M. Demirel

67'▲B. Tunçay←▼F. Sarı

83'▲G. Demirel←▼B. Aksoy

Karaköprü Belediyespor substitutes

9Demirel6Tunçay75Gök5Toprak48Orhan17Taşçi10Karadeniz1Karadaş20Bakkal3Başer

Manager: Yakup Bırasoğlu

46'▲M. Aköz←▼M. Bulut

46'▲T. Tunç←▼Y. Akın

61'▲M. Ergin←▼T. Şahin

76'▲A. Bel←▼H. Türkyılmaz

80'▲Ç. Şendur←▼H. Öztürk

Kırşehir Belediyespor substitutes

88Şendur70Bel93Ergin99Aköz6Tunç7Yılmaz78Kaptan3Kurt21Teker18Kök

League #553: Karaköprü Belediyespor 0–0 Kırşehir Belediyespor

Karaköprü Belediyespor and Kırşehir Belediyespor drew 0-0 in League #553 on September 13, 2025.

The match was played at Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi in Şanlıurfa.

Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Kırşehir Belediyespor — League #553 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

League #553: Karaköprü Belediyespor 0–0 Kırşehir Belediyespor