Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Kamuzu Barracks vs TN Stars — Super League 2026

Kamuzu Barracks
Kamuzu Barracks
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
TN Stars
TN Stars
11/9/2022Super LeagueSuper League · Round 23Champion Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 32+ matches

Kamuzu Barracks61%
×Draw24%
TN Stars15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kamuzu Barracks
1.65
TN Stars
0.68

Kamuzu Barracks creates 143% more chances

Season form · 83 home / 32 away

creates per match

Kamuzu Barracks
1.07
TN Stars
0.59

allows per match

Kamuzu Barracks
0.77
TN Stars
2.22

finishing

Kamuzu Barracks+0.00on par
TN Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kamuzu Barracks ↓

TN Stars →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–17%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
41%59%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Kamuzu Barracks or draw
85%
Kamuzu Barracks or TN Stars
76%
Draw or TN Stars
39%

Winning margin

Kamuzu Barracks wins by 2+
34%
TN Stars wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Kamuzu Barracks 1+ goals
81%
Kamuzu Barracks 2+ goals
49%
Kamuzu Barracks 3+ goals
23%
TN Stars 1+ goals
49%
TN Stars 2+ goals
15%
TN Stars 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Kamuzu Barracks (draw refunded)
80%
TN Stars (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kamuzu Barracks at home — creates 1.07, concedes 0.77 · 83 matches

TN Stars away — creates 0.59, concedes 2.22 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kamuzu Barracks attack 1.07 + TN Stars defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 1.65

TN Stars attack 0.59 + Kamuzu Barracks defence 0.77 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Kamuzu Barracks scores more
61%
level
24%
TN Stars scores more
15%

Kamuzu Barracks at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Kamuzu Barracks will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Kamuzu Barracks vs TN Stars

Kamuzu Barracks beat TN Stars 2-0 in Super League on November 9, 2022.

The match was played at Champion Stadium in Mponela.