Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Kalamunda City vs Kingsley Westside — Western Australia State League 1 2026

Kalamunda City
Kalamunda City
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Kingsley Westside
Kingsley Westside
7/12/2025Western Australia State League 1Western Australia State League 1 · Round 16Maida Vale Reserve

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Kalamunda City33%
×Draw23%
Kingsley Westside45%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kalamunda City
1.50
Kingsley Westside
1.79

Kingsley Westside creates 19% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 30 away

creates per match

Kalamunda City
1.27
Kingsley Westside
1.50

allows per match

Kalamunda City
2.09
Kingsley Westside
1.73

finishing

Kalamunda City+0.00on par
Kingsley Westside+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kalamunda City ↓

Kingsley Westside →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Kalamunda City or draw
55%
Kalamunda City or Kingsley Westside
77%
Draw or Kingsley Westside
67%

Winning margin

Kalamunda City wins by 2+
15%
Kingsley Westside wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Kalamunda City 1+ goals
78%
Kalamunda City 2+ goals
44%
Kalamunda City 3+ goals
19%
Kingsley Westside 1+ goals
83%
Kingsley Westside 2+ goals
53%
Kingsley Westside 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Kalamunda City (draw refunded)
42%
Kingsley Westside (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kalamunda City at home — creates 1.27, concedes 2.09 · 11 matches

Kingsley Westside away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.73 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kalamunda City attack 1.27 + Kingsley Westside defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.50

Kingsley Westside attack 1.50 + Kalamunda City defence 2.09 → ÷2 → 1.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Kalamunda City scores more
33%
level
23%
Kingsley Westside scores more
45%

Kingsley Westside at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Kingsley Westside will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Kalamunda City vs Kingsley Westside

Kingsley Westside beat Kalamunda City 2-0 in Western Australia State League 1 on July 12, 2025.

The match was played at Maida Vale Reserve in Maida Vale.