Scoreo

Kaiserslautern U19 vs Kickers Offenbach U19U19 Bundesliga 2019

V. Haxhiu 90+3' (pen)
K. Scheer 9'
5/17/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 14Sportpark Rote Teufel Platz 7

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 47+ matches

Kaiserslautern U1962%
×Draw19%
Kickers Offenbach U1919%
Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 577,134 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.8% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kaiserslautern U19
2.46
Kickers Offenbach U19
1.30

Kaiserslautern U19 creates 89% more chances

Season form · 70 home / 47 away

creates per match

Kaiserslautern U19
1.86
Kickers Offenbach U19
0.98

allows per match

Kaiserslautern U19
1.63
Kickers Offenbach U19
3.06

finishing

Kaiserslautern U19+0.00on par
Kickers Offenbach U19+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kaiserslautern U19

Kickers Offenbach U19
0
1
2
3
4
0
002%
013%
022%
031%
040%
1
106%
118%
125%
132%
141%
2
207%
219%
226%
233%
241%
3
306%
318%
325%
332%
341%
4
404%
415%
423%
431%
440%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Kaiserslautern U19 or draw
81%
Kaiserslautern U19 or Kickers Offenbach U19
81%
Draw or Kickers Offenbach U19
38%

Winning margin

Kaiserslautern U19 wins by 2+
41%
Kickers Offenbach U19 wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Kaiserslautern U19 1+ goals
91%
Kaiserslautern U19 2+ goals
70%
Kaiserslautern U19 3+ goals
44%
Kickers Offenbach U19 1+ goals
73%
Kickers Offenbach U19 2+ goals
37%
Kickers Offenbach U19 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Kaiserslautern U19 (draw refunded)
77%
Kickers Offenbach U19 (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kaiserslautern U19 at homecreates 1.86, concedes 1.63 · 70 matches

Kickers Offenbach U19 awaycreates 0.98, concedes 3.06 · 47 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kaiserslautern U19 attack 1.86 + Kickers Offenbach U19 defence 3.06 → ÷2 → 2.46

Kickers Offenbach U19 attack 0.98 + Kaiserslautern U19 defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Kaiserslautern U19 scores more
62%
level
19%
Kickers Offenbach U19 scores more
19%

Kaiserslautern U19 at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Kaiserslautern U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Kaiserslautern
Kickers
E. Baffoun
Manager: E. Baffoun
53'B. JungfleischF. Ammann
53'D. RešicM. Baser
53'J. MensahN. Tamakloe
53'O. GibsK. Scheer
53'V. HaxhiuD. Tuttobene
78'P. BeschE. Müller

Kaiserslautern U19 substitutes

S. Stuppia
Manager: S. Stuppia
46'B. KütükB. Özcelik
46'M. DahlL. Fle Alcazar
55'A. PistrittoM. Bouzelha
55'E. DelikayaH. Uhumwangho
55'M. MehlT. Reuter
55'T. KaracagaS. Bouzarzar

U19 Bundesliga: Kaiserslautern U19 3–0 Kickers Offenbach U19

Kaiserslautern U19 beat Kickers Offenbach U19 3-0 in U19 Bundesliga on May 17, 2025.

Goals: K. Scheer (9'), K. Ramadani (43'), V. Haxhiu (90+3' pen).

The match was played at Sportpark Rote Teufel Platz 7 in Mehlingen.