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KAC Soccer vs Debibi United — Division One League 2025

KAC Soccer
KAC Soccer
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Debibi United
Debibi United
4/26/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 27

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

KAC Soccer38%
×Draw28%
Debibi United34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

KAC Soccer
1.25
Debibi United
1.17

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 14 home / 15 away

creates per match

KAC Soccer
1.57
Debibi United
1.47

allows per match

KAC Soccer
0.86
Debibi United
0.93

finishing

KAC Soccer+0.00on par
Debibi United+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KAC Soccer ↓

Debibi United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

KAC Soccer or draw
66%
KAC Soccer or Debibi United
72%
Draw or Debibi United
62%

Winning margin

KAC Soccer wins by 2+
17%
Debibi United wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

KAC Soccer 1+ goals
71%
KAC Soccer 2+ goals
36%
KAC Soccer 3+ goals
13%
Debibi United 1+ goals
69%
Debibi United 2+ goals
33%
Debibi United 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

KAC Soccer (draw refunded)
53%
Debibi United (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KAC Soccer at home — creates 1.57, concedes 0.86 · 14 matches

Debibi United away — creates 1.47, concedes 0.93 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KAC Soccer attack 1.57 + Debibi United defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.25

Debibi United attack 1.47 + KAC Soccer defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

KAC Soccer scores more
38%
level
28%
Debibi United scores more
34%

KAC Soccer at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "KAC Soccer will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: KAC Soccer vs Debibi United

KAC Soccer and Debibi United drew 0-0 in Division One League on April 26, 2026.