Kabuscorp 0–0 Bravos do Maquis FC: Result & Stats

Kabuscorp

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Bravos do Maquis FC

1/18/2026

Girabola · Round 11Estádio Municipal dos Coqueiros

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Kabuscorp43%

×Draw30%

Bravos do Maquis FC28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KabuscorpExpected goals in this matchBravos do Maquis FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.20

0.90

Kabuscorp

1.20

Bravos do Maquis FC

0.90

Kabuscorp creates 33% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 106 away

1.31

creates per match

0.95

0.85

allows per match

1.09

creates per match

Kabuscorp

1.31

Bravos do Maquis FC

0.95

allows per match

Kabuscorp

0.85

Bravos do Maquis FC

1.09

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kabuscorp+0.00on par

Bravos do Maquis FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under65
Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kabuscorp ↓

Bravos do Maquis FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–111%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

62%38%2.5

35%65%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Kabuscorp or draw

72%

Kabuscorp or Bravos do Maquis FC

70%

Draw or Bravos do Maquis FC

57%

Winning margin

Kabuscorp wins by 2+

19%

Bravos do Maquis FC wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Kabuscorp 1+ goals

70%

Kabuscorp 2+ goals

34%

Kabuscorp 3+ goals

12%

Bravos do Maquis FC 1+ goals

59%

Bravos do Maquis FC 2+ goals

23%

Bravos do Maquis FC 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Kabuscorp (draw refunded)

61%

Bravos do Maquis FC (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

28%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kabuscorp at home — creates 1.31, concedes 0.85 · 68 matches

Bravos do Maquis FC away — creates 0.95, concedes 1.09 · 106 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kabuscorp attack 1.31 + Bravos do Maquis FC defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.20

Bravos do Maquis FC attack 0.95 + Kabuscorp defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Kabuscorp scores more

43%

level

30%

Bravos do Maquis FC scores more

28%

Kabuscorp at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Kabuscorp will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff