Kabel Novi Sad 2–4 Borac Cacak: Result & Stats

Kabel Novi Sad

FT

2 – 4

HT: 2 – 3

Borac Cacak

V. Vidakovic 12'

V. Boskan 11'

V. Markovic 55', 38'

M. Mijic 32'

N. Furtula 5' (pen)

4/22/2026

Prva Liga · Relegation Group - 32

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 69+ matches

Kabel Novi Sad38%

×Draw28%

Borac Cacak34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kabel Novi SadExpected goals in this matchBorac Cacak

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.19

1.10

Kabel Novi Sad

1.19

Borac Cacak

1.10

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 69 home / 74 away

0.88

creates per match

1.01

1.20

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

Kabel Novi Sad

0.88

Borac Cacak

1.01

allows per match

Kabel Novi Sad

1.20

Borac Cacak

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kabel Novi Sad+0.00on par

Borac Cacak+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kabel Novi Sad ↓

Borac Cacak →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–24%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Kabel Novi Sad or draw

66%

Kabel Novi Sad or Borac Cacak

72%

Draw or Borac Cacak

62%

Winning margin

Kabel Novi Sad wins by 2+

16%

Borac Cacak wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Kabel Novi Sad 1+ goals

70%

Kabel Novi Sad 2+ goals

33%

Kabel Novi Sad 3+ goals

12%

Borac Cacak 1+ goals

67%

Borac Cacak 2+ goals

30%

Borac Cacak 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Kabel Novi Sad (draw refunded)

53%

Borac Cacak (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kabel Novi Sad at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.20 · 69 matches

Borac Cacak away — creates 1.01, concedes 1.50 · 74 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kabel Novi Sad attack 0.88 + Borac Cacak defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.19

Borac Cacak attack 1.01 + Kabel Novi Sad defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Kabel Novi Sad scores more

38%

level

28%

Borac Cacak scores more

34%

Kabel Novi Sad at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Kabel Novi Sad will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'

N. FurtulaPenalty

11'

12'

32'

38'

44'

46'

D. Janjic← I. Dervisi

55'

V. Markovic

56'

A. Desancic

57'

M. Savanovic← U. Paunovic

63'

S. Savija← Z. Karac

66'

S. Savija

80'

M. Skrbic← N. Furtula

86'

V. Apostolovski← N. Ninkovic

87'

Leandro Pinto← V. Markovic

89'

M. Gashtarov

90+2'

J. Rakonjac← N. Colic

Kabel

Borac

41

Stanic

3

Kolarevic

4

Todosijev

9

⚽

▼

15

19

20

22

⚽2

▼

Markovic

28

▼

Colic

29

Vidovic

30

⚽

Mijic

22

Nikolic

7

▼

Paunovic

13

Kocovic

14

▼

Karac

15

Rogac

16

▼

Ninkovic

17

⚽

Vidakovic

18

⚽

Boskan

19

▼

Dervisi

26

Marjanovi

28

Tanasin

Manager: Dusan Bajic

46'▲D. Janjic←▼I. Dervisi

57'▲M. Savanovic←▼U. Paunovic

63'▲S. Savija←▼Z. Karac

86'▲V. Apostolovski←▼N. Ninkovic

Kabel Novi Sad substitutes

12Perin2Bobos4Stojsic5Pavic9Savija11Janjic21Apostolovski24Kuzmin25Savanovic29Jelic

Manager: Igor Bondzulic

80'▲M. Skrbic←▼N. Furtula

87'▲Leandro Pinto←▼V. Markovic

90+2'▲J. Rakonjac←▼N. Colic

Borac Cacak substitutes

91Petric2Bamigboye5Draskovic7Tomic8Rakonjac11Skrbic12Pinto14Calukovic16Adamu27Majstorovic