Juve Stabia 0–0 Bari: Result & Stats | Serie B

Juve Stabia

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Bari

12/4/2025

Serie B · Round 10Stadio Romeo Menti

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Juve Stabia44%

×Draw27%

Bari29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Juve StabiaExpected goals in this matchBari

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.39

1.06

Juve Stabia

1.39

Bari

1.06

Juve Stabia creates 31% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 82 away

1.42

creates per match

1.05

1.08

allows per match

1.35

creates per match

Juve Stabia

1.42

Bari

1.05

allows per match

Juve Stabia

1.08

Bari

1.35

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Juve Stabia+0.00on par

Bari+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Juve Stabia ↓

Bari →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Juve Stabia or draw

71%

Juve Stabia or Bari

73%

Draw or Bari

56%

Winning margin

Juve Stabia wins by 2+

21%

Bari wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Juve Stabia 1+ goals

75%

Juve Stabia 2+ goals

40%

Juve Stabia 3+ goals

16%

Bari 1+ goals

65%

Bari 2+ goals

29%

Bari 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Juve Stabia (draw refunded)

61%

Bari (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Juve Stabia at home — creates 1.42, concedes 1.08 · 60 matches

Bari away — creates 1.05, concedes 1.35 · 82 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Juve Stabia attack 1.42 + Bari defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.39

Bari attack 1.05 + Juve Stabia defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Juve Stabia scores more

44%

level

27%

Bari scores more

29%

Juve Stabia at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Juve Stabia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

29

M. Verreth

Bari · M

7.7

Match Events

1'

25'

38'

51'

55'

K. Piscopo← A. Cacciamani

57'

Kevin Piscopo

63'

F. Maistro← G. Leone

63'

N. Mosti← C. Pierobon

68'

C. Gytkjaer← G. Moncini

68'

E. Rao← R. Pagano

79'

R. Pucino← F. Vicari

79'

A. Partipilo← G. Castrovilli

80'

M. Bellich← M. Ruggero

80'

M. Mannini← G. Stabile

88'

Omar Correia

90+5'

Anthony Partipilo

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

JuveBari

Overview

61%Possession39%

17Total Shots3

8Corners0

17Fouls13

Shots

17Total Shots3

1On Target0

10Off Target2

6Blocked1

8Inside Box2

9Outside Box1

Passing

61%Possession39%

563Total Passes365

496Accurate Passes293

88%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

0Saves1

Discipline

17Fouls13

4Yellow Cards3

2Offsides0