Jorge Wilstermann 2–7 Always Ready: Result & Stats

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Jorge WilstermannExpected goals in this matchAlways Ready

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.63

1.29

Jorge Wilstermann

1.63

Always Ready

1.29

Jorge Wilstermann creates 26% more chances

Season form · 126 home / 124 away

1.75

creates per match

1.48

1.09

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

Jorge Wilstermann

1.75

Always Ready

1.48

allows per match

Jorge Wilstermann

1.09

Always Ready

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Jorge Wilstermann+0.00on par

Always Ready+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jorge Wilstermann ↓

Always Ready →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Jorge Wilstermann or draw

70%

Jorge Wilstermann or Always Ready

76%

Draw or Always Ready

55%

Winning margin

Jorge Wilstermann wins by 2+

23%

Always Ready wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Jorge Wilstermann 1+ goals

80%

Jorge Wilstermann 2+ goals

48%

Jorge Wilstermann 3+ goals

22%

Always Ready 1+ goals

72%

Always Ready 2+ goals

37%

Always Ready 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Jorge Wilstermann (draw refunded)

60%

Always Ready (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jorge Wilstermann at home — creates 1.75, concedes 1.09 · 126 matches

Always Ready away — creates 1.48, concedes 1.50 · 124 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jorge Wilstermann attack 1.75 + Always Ready defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.63

Always Ready attack 1.48 + Jorge Wilstermann defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Jorge Wilstermann scores more

45%

level

24%

Always Ready scores more

30%

Jorge Wilstermann at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Jorge Wilstermann will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

1'

R. Soto← F. Rodriguez

7'

M. Paniagua

23'

G. Castillo

28'

Robson

35'

H. Bobadilla↳ M. Tellez

40'

E. Gonzalez↳ F. Saucedo

45'

F. SaucedoPenalty

45'

D. Torrico↳ M. Paniagua

46'

A. Guillermo←

57'

M. Paniagua↳ D. Torrico

63'

R. Ferrufino← J. Uzeda

63'

B. Sobrero← D. Torrico

67'

A. Barron← M. Tellez

67'

E. Pardo← Robson

77'

J. Maraude← M. Paniagua

77'

T. Andrade← E. Gonzalez

80'

T. Andrade↳ J. Maraude

84'

A. Caceres

85'

C. Rodriguez← D. Medina

88'

R. Ferrufino

90+1'

J. Mamani

90'

J. Mamani↳ A. Barron

Jorge

Always

1

33

5

22

2

▼

Medina

13

Cuellar

20

⚽A

Saucedo

19

⚽A

▼

Torrico

11

▼

Uzeda

44

⚽

▼

Gonzalez

7

⚽2A

▼

Paniagua

33

Zotes

5

Castillo

4

▼

6

17

3

25

▼

Robson

8

⚽

Mamani

11

A

▼

Tellez

7

Caceres

10

⚽

Bobadilla

Manager: Humberto Viviani Ribera

1'▲R. Soto←▼F. Rodriguez

46'▲A. Guillermo←▼—

67'▲A. Barron←▼M. Tellez

67'▲E. Pardo←▼Robson

Jorge Wilstermann substitutes

18Barron12Olivera14Pardo9Pena28Soto27Corrales20Guillermo30Andersen

Manager: Julio César Baldivieso Rico

63'▲R. Ferrufino←▼J. Uzeda

63'▲B. Sobrero←▼D. Torrico

77'▲J. Maraude←▼M. Paniagua

77'▲T. Andrade←▼E. Gonzalez

85'▲C. Rodriguez←▼D. Medina

Always Ready substitutes

9Ferrufino51Terrazas31Camacho99Rodriguez18Rodriguez6Taborga17Maraude32Galvez10Sobrero23Andrade49Fuente

Match Recap: Jorge Wilstermann vs Always Ready

Always Ready beat Jorge Wilstermann 7-2 in Primera División on May 4, 2025.

Goals: M. Paniagua (7', 57'), H. Bobadilla (35'), E. Gonzalez (40'), F. Saucedo (45' pen), D. Torrico (45'), T. Andrade (80'), R. Ferrufino (88'), J. Mamani (90').

The match was played at Estadio Félix Capriles in Cochabamba.

Jorge Wilstermann vs Always Ready — Primera División 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Jorge Wilstermann vs Always Ready