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Jiskra Domažlice vs Přeštice — 3. liga - CFL A 2019

Jiskra Domažlice
Jiskra Domažlice
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Přeštice
Přeštice
4/1/20233. liga - CFL A3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 20Stadion Střelnice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Jiskra Domažlice63%
×Draw19%
Přeštice18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jiskra Domažlice
2.33
Přeštice
1.17

Jiskra Domažlice creates 99% more chances

Season form · 88 home / 30 away

creates per match

Jiskra Domažlice
2.74
Přeštice
1.17

allows per match

Jiskra Domažlice
1.17
Přeštice
1.93

finishing

Jiskra Domažlice+0.00on par
Přeštice+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jiskra Domažlice ↓

Přeštice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
68%32%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Jiskra Domažlice or draw
82%
Jiskra Domažlice or Přeštice
81%
Draw or Přeštice
37%

Winning margin

Jiskra Domažlice wins by 2+
41%
Přeštice wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Jiskra Domažlice 1+ goals
90%
Jiskra Domažlice 2+ goals
67%
Jiskra Domažlice 3+ goals
41%
Přeštice 1+ goals
69%
Přeštice 2+ goals
33%
Přeštice 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Jiskra Domažlice (draw refunded)
78%
Přeštice (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jiskra Domažlice at home — creates 2.74, concedes 1.17 · 88 matches

Přeštice away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.93 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jiskra Domažlice attack 2.74 + Přeštice defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 2.33

Přeštice attack 1.17 + Jiskra Domažlice defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Jiskra Domažlice scores more
63%
level
19%
Přeštice scores more
18%

Jiskra Domažlice at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Jiskra Domažlice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Jiskra Domažlice vs Přeštice

Jiskra Domažlice and Přeštice drew 1-1 in 3. liga - CFL A on April 1, 2023.

The match was played at Stadion Střelnice in Domažlice.