Jiskra Domažlice 5–1 Admira Praha: Result & Stats

Jiskra Domažlice

FT

5 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Admira Praha

3/28/2026

3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 21Mestsky stadion Strelnice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 83+ matches

Jiskra Domažlice57%

×Draw20%

Admira Praha22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Jiskra DomažliceExpected goals in this matchAdmira Praha

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.20

1.31

Jiskra Domažlice

2.20

Admira Praha

1.31

Jiskra Domažlice creates 68% more chances

Season form · 88 home / 83 away

2.74

creates per match

1.46

1.17

allows per match

1.66

creates per match

Jiskra Domažlice

2.74

Admira Praha

1.46

allows per match

Jiskra Domažlice

1.17

Admira Praha

1.66

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Jiskra Domažlice+0.00on par

Admira Praha+0.00on par

Total goals

Over68
Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jiskra Domažlice ↓

Admira Praha →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–19%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

68%32%3.5

46%54%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Jiskra Domažlice or draw

78%

Jiskra Domažlice or Admira Praha

80%

Draw or Admira Praha

43%

Winning margin

Jiskra Domažlice wins by 2+

35%

Admira Praha wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Jiskra Domažlice 1+ goals

89%

Jiskra Domažlice 2+ goals

64%

Jiskra Domažlice 3+ goals

37%

Admira Praha 1+ goals

73%

Admira Praha 2+ goals

38%

Admira Praha 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Jiskra Domažlice (draw refunded)

72%

Admira Praha (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jiskra Domažlice at home — creates 2.74, concedes 1.17 · 88 matches

Admira Praha away — creates 1.46, concedes 1.66 · 83 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jiskra Domažlice attack 2.74 + Admira Praha defence 1.66 → ÷2 → 2.20

Admira Praha attack 1.46 + Jiskra Domažlice defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Jiskra Domažlice scores more

57%

level

20%

Admira Praha scores more

22%

Jiskra Domažlice at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Jiskra Domažlice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff