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Admira Praha vs Jiskra Domažlice — 3. liga - CFL A 2019

Admira Praha
Admira Praha
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Jiskra Domažlice
Jiskra Domažlice
4/18/20253. liga - CFL A3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 24Stadion Na Pecích

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 85+ matches

Admira Praha33%
×Draw26%
Jiskra Domažlice41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Admira Praha
1.28
Jiskra Domažlice
1.46

Jiskra Domažlice creates 14% more chances

Season form · 87 home / 85 away

creates per match

Admira Praha
1.31
Jiskra Domažlice
1.61

allows per match

Admira Praha
1.30
Jiskra Domažlice
1.25

finishing

Admira Praha+0.00on par
Jiskra Domažlice+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Admira Praha ↓

Jiskra Domažlice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–19%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Admira Praha or draw
59%
Admira Praha or Jiskra Domažlice
74%
Draw or Jiskra Domažlice
67%

Winning margin

Admira Praha wins by 2+
14%
Jiskra Domažlice wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Admira Praha 1+ goals
72%
Admira Praha 2+ goals
37%
Admira Praha 3+ goals
14%
Jiskra Domažlice 1+ goals
77%
Jiskra Domažlice 2+ goals
43%
Jiskra Domažlice 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Admira Praha (draw refunded)
44%
Jiskra Domažlice (draw refunded)
56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Admira Praha at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.30 · 87 matches

Jiskra Domažlice away — creates 1.61, concedes 1.25 · 85 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Admira Praha attack 1.31 + Jiskra Domažlice defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.28

Jiskra Domažlice attack 1.61 + Admira Praha defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Admira Praha scores more
33%
level
26%
Jiskra Domažlice scores more
41%

Jiskra Domažlice at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Jiskra Domažlice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Admira Praha vs Jiskra Domažlice

Admira Praha and Jiskra Domažlice drew 0-0 in 3. liga - CFL A on April 18, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Na Pecích in Praha.