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JIPPO vs KuPS Akatemia — Friendlies Clubs 2026

JIPPO
JIPPO
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
KuPS Akatemia
KuPS Akatemia
1/10/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club FriendlyHope Areena TN

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

JIPPO97%
×Draw3%
KuPS Akatemia1%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

JIPPO
4.33
KuPS Akatemia
0.25

JIPPO creates 1632% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 3 away

creates per match

JIPPO
5.33
KuPS Akatemia
0.00

allows per match

JIPPO
0.50
KuPS Akatemia
3.33

finishing

JIPPO+0.00on par
KuPS Akatemia+0.00on par

Total goals

81%Over
  • Over81
  • Under19

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%No
  • No78
  • Yes22

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

JIPPO ↓

KuPS Akatemia →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–10%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–11%
1–20%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–13%
2–20%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–016%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–018%
4–14%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 4–0 (18%) · grid covers 66% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
81%19%3.5
61%39%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

JIPPO or draw
99%
JIPPO or KuPS Akatemia
97%
Draw or KuPS Akatemia
3%

Winning margin

JIPPO wins by 2+
88%
KuPS Akatemia wins by 2+
0%

Team goals

JIPPO 1+ goals
98%
JIPPO 2+ goals
92%
JIPPO 3+ goals
77%
KuPS Akatemia 1+ goals
22%
KuPS Akatemia 2+ goals
3%
KuPS Akatemia 3+ goals
0%

Draw no bet

JIPPO (draw refunded)
99%
KuPS Akatemia (draw refunded)
1%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
20%
Both score & under 3
1%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

JIPPO at home — creates 5.33, concedes 0.50 · 6 matches

KuPS Akatemia away — creates 0.00, concedes 3.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

JIPPO attack 5.33 + KuPS Akatemia defence 3.33 → ÷2 → 4.33

KuPS Akatemia attack 0.00 + JIPPO defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 97%?"

JIPPO scores more
97%
level
3%
KuPS Akatemia scores more
1%

JIPPO at 97% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 97% does not mean "JIPPO will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: JIPPO 1–0 KuPS Akatemia

JIPPO beat KuPS Akatemia 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 10, 2026.

The match was played at Hope Areena TN in Joensuu.