Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–1 AS Soliman

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

AS Soliman

A. El Majhed 37'

4/25/2026

League #202 · Round 26Stade Chedly Zouiten

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane43%

×Draw30%

AS Soliman28%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Jeunesse Sportive OmraneExpected goals in this matchAS Soliman

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.19

0.90

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

1.19

AS Soliman

0.90

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane creates 32% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 32 away

1.17

creates per match

0.63

1.17

allows per match

1.22

creates per match

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

1.17

AS Soliman

0.63

allows per match

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

1.17

AS Soliman

1.22

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane+0.00on par

AS Soliman+0.00on par

Total goals

Under65
Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane ↓

AS Soliman →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–111%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

62%38%2.5

35%65%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane or draw

72%

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane or AS Soliman

70%

Draw or AS Soliman

57%

Winning margin

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane wins by 2+

18%

AS Soliman wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1+ goals

70%

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2+ goals

33%

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 3+ goals

12%

AS Soliman 1+ goals

59%

AS Soliman 2+ goals

23%

AS Soliman 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane (draw refunded)

61%

AS Soliman (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

28%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

AS Soliman away — creates 0.63, concedes 1.22 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane attack 1.17 + AS Soliman defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.19

AS Soliman attack 0.63 + Jeunesse Sportive Omrane defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane scores more

43%

level

30%

AS Soliman scores more

28%

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Jeunesse Sportive Omrane will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'

37'

A. El Majhed

56'

77'

Jeunesse

AS

1

Cherifia

24

⚽

35

17

2

33

3

8

26

39

10

1

2

26

4

29

35

10

19

8

28

18

Manager: Mohamed Maalej

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane substitutes

17Zoughlami30Kouki9Touati22Hanzouli11Abdelli6Othmani24Khemissi14Mahdouani12Bede

Manager: Sami Gafsi

AS Soliman substitutes

19Kamoun15BoucettaDaouser11Belaili21Mosbahi18Maawati16Rabah

League #202: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–1 AS Soliman

AS Soliman beat Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1-0 in League #202 on April 25, 2026.

Goals: A. El Majhed (37').

The match was played at Stade Chedly Zouiten in Tunis.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Soliman — League #202 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

League #202: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–1 AS Soliman