Scoreo

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS SolimanLeague #202 2026

11/2/2024League #202League #202 · Round 7Stade Hédi-Enneifer

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane43%
×Draw30%
AS Soliman28%
Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1.19
AS Soliman
0.90

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane creates 32% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 32 away

creates per match

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1.17
AS Soliman
0.63

allows per match

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1.17
AS Soliman
1.22

finishing

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane+0.00on par
AS Soliman+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

AS Soliman
0
1
2
3
4
0
0012%
0111%
025%
032%
040%
1
1015%
1113%
126%
132%
140%
2
209%
218%
224%
231%
240%
3
303%
313%
321%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane or draw
72%
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane or AS Soliman
70%
Draw or AS Soliman
57%

Winning margin

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane wins by 2+
18%
AS Soliman wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1+ goals
70%
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2+ goals
33%
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 3+ goals
12%
AS Soliman 1+ goals
59%
AS Soliman 2+ goals
23%
AS Soliman 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane (draw refunded)
61%
AS Soliman (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at homecreates 1.17, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

AS Soliman awaycreates 0.63, concedes 1.22 · 32 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane attack 1.17 + AS Soliman defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.19

AS Soliman attack 0.63 + Jeunesse Sportive Omrane defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane scores more
43%
level
30%
AS Soliman scores more
28%

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Jeunesse Sportive Omrane will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Jeunesse
AS
L. Kadri
Manager: L. Kadri
70'M. OmriK. Boussaidi
70'M. KhadhraouiY. Salhi
77'O. RomdhaniI. Ben Rejeb
77'A. HadhriC. Zoughlami

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane substitutes

S. Zarrouk
Manager: S. Zarrouk
56'M. HamrouniAndrey Da Silva
60'B. TrikiM. Haddad
85'A. MesbahA. Majhed

AS Soliman substitutes

Match Recap: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Soliman

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and AS Soliman drew 0-0 in League #202 on November 2, 2024.

The match was played at Stade Hédi-Enneifer in Le Bardo.