Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Ittihad Tanger vs Rapide Oued ZEM — Botola Pro 2025

Ittihad Tanger
Ittihad Tanger
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Rapide Oued ZEM
Rapide Oued ZEM
2/13/2021Botola ProBotola Pro · Round 6Grand Stade de Tanger

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Ittihad Tanger41%
×Draw31%
Rapide Oued ZEM28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ittihad Tanger
1.09
Rapide Oued ZEM
0.86

Ittihad Tanger creates 27% more chances

Season form · 121 home / 60 away

creates per match

Ittihad Tanger
0.95
Rapide Oued ZEM
0.72

allows per match

Ittihad Tanger
1.00
Rapide Oued ZEM
1.23

finishing

Ittihad Tanger+0.00on par
Rapide Oued ZEM+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ittihad Tanger ↓

Rapide Oued ZEM →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–112%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Ittihad Tanger or draw
72%
Ittihad Tanger or Rapide Oued ZEM
69%
Draw or Rapide Oued ZEM
59%

Winning margin

Ittihad Tanger wins by 2+
17%
Rapide Oued ZEM wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Ittihad Tanger 1+ goals
66%
Ittihad Tanger 2+ goals
30%
Ittihad Tanger 3+ goals
10%
Rapide Oued ZEM 1+ goals
58%
Rapide Oued ZEM 2+ goals
21%
Rapide Oued ZEM 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Ittihad Tanger (draw refunded)
59%
Rapide Oued ZEM (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ittihad Tanger at home — creates 0.95, concedes 1.00 · 121 matches

Rapide Oued ZEM away — creates 0.72, concedes 1.23 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ittihad Tanger attack 0.95 + Rapide Oued ZEM defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.09

Rapide Oued ZEM attack 0.72 + Ittihad Tanger defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Ittihad Tanger scores more
41%
level
31%
Rapide Oued ZEM scores more
28%

Ittihad Tanger at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Ittihad Tanger will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Botola Pro: Ittihad Tanger 0–1 Rapide Oued ZEM

Rapide Oued ZEM beat Ittihad Tanger 1-0 in Botola Pro on February 13, 2021.

The match was played at Grand Stade de Tanger in Tanger.