Inter Allies 2–1 Hakla SC: Result & Stats

Inter Allies

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Hakla SC

2/21/2026

Division One League · Round 20

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Inter Allies45%

×Draw25%

Hakla SC30%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Inter AlliesExpected goals in this matchHakla SC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.53

1.20

Inter Allies

1.53

Hakla SC

1.20

Inter Allies creates 28% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

1.67

creates per match

1.13

1.27

allows per match

1.40

creates per match

Inter Allies

1.67

Hakla SC

1.13

allows per match

Inter Allies

1.27

Hakla SC

1.40

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Inter Allies+0.00on par

Hakla SC+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Inter Allies ↓

Hakla SC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

76%24%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Inter Allies or draw

70%

Inter Allies or Hakla SC

75%

Draw or Hakla SC

55%

Winning margin

Inter Allies wins by 2+

22%

Hakla SC wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Inter Allies 1+ goals

78%

Inter Allies 2+ goals

45%

Inter Allies 3+ goals

20%

Hakla SC 1+ goals

70%

Hakla SC 2+ goals

34%

Hakla SC 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Inter Allies (draw refunded)

60%

Hakla SC (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Inter Allies at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.27 · 15 matches

Hakla SC away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.40 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Inter Allies attack 1.67 + Hakla SC defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.53

Hakla SC attack 1.13 + Inter Allies defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Inter Allies scores more

45%

level

25%

Hakla SC scores more

30%

Inter Allies at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Inter Allies will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff