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Hakla SC vs Inter Allies — Division One League 2025

Hakla SC
Hakla SC
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Inter Allies
Inter Allies
11/2/2025Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Hakla SC45%
×Draw29%
Inter Allies26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hakla SC
1.27
Inter Allies
0.90

Hakla SC creates 41% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Hakla SC
1.27
Inter Allies
0.87

allows per match

Hakla SC
0.93
Inter Allies
1.27

finishing

Hakla SC+0.00on par
Inter Allies+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hakla SC ↓

Inter Allies →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Hakla SC or draw
74%
Hakla SC or Inter Allies
71%
Draw or Inter Allies
55%

Winning margin

Hakla SC wins by 2+
20%
Inter Allies wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Hakla SC 1+ goals
72%
Hakla SC 2+ goals
36%
Hakla SC 3+ goals
14%
Inter Allies 1+ goals
59%
Inter Allies 2+ goals
23%
Inter Allies 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Hakla SC (draw refunded)
63%
Inter Allies (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hakla SC at home — creates 1.27, concedes 0.93 · 15 matches

Inter Allies away — creates 0.87, concedes 1.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hakla SC attack 1.27 + Inter Allies defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.27

Inter Allies attack 0.87 + Hakla SC defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Hakla SC scores more
45%
level
29%
Inter Allies scores more
26%

Hakla SC at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Hakla SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Hakla SC 0–1 Inter Allies

Inter Allies beat Hakla SC 1-0 in Division One League on November 2, 2025.