IMT Novi Beograd 0–0 Vojvodina: Result & Stats

IMT Novi Beograd

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Vojvodina

4/4/2026

Super Liga · Round 29

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

IMT Novi Beograd35%

×Draw27%

Vojvodina39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

IMT Novi BeogradExpected goals in this matchVojvodina

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.23

1.32

IMT Novi Beograd

1.23

Vojvodina

1.32

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 58 home / 146 away

1.21

creates per match

1.36

1.28

allows per match

1.26

creates per match

IMT Novi Beograd

1.21

Vojvodina

1.36

allows per match

IMT Novi Beograd

1.28

Vojvodina

1.26

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

IMT Novi Beograd+0.00on par

Vojvodina+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IMT Novi Beograd ↓

Vojvodina →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–110%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

IMT Novi Beograd or draw

61%

IMT Novi Beograd or Vojvodina

73%

Draw or Vojvodina

65%

Winning margin

IMT Novi Beograd wins by 2+

15%

Vojvodina wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

IMT Novi Beograd 1+ goals

71%

IMT Novi Beograd 2+ goals

35%

IMT Novi Beograd 3+ goals

13%

Vojvodina 1+ goals

73%

Vojvodina 2+ goals

38%

Vojvodina 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

IMT Novi Beograd (draw refunded)

47%

Vojvodina (draw refunded)

53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IMT Novi Beograd at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.28 · 58 matches

Vojvodina away — creates 1.36, concedes 1.26 · 146 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IMT Novi Beograd attack 1.21 + Vojvodina defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.23

Vojvodina attack 1.36 + IMT Novi Beograd defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

IMT Novi Beograd scores more

35%

level

27%

Vojvodina scores more

39%

Vojvodina at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Vojvodina will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

23

Lucas Barros

Vojvodina · D

8.2

Match Events

14'

Milutin Vidosavljević

21'

Oriyomi Lebi

46'

V. Kiankaulua← I. Martos

46'

K. Eta← S. Tanjga

50'

Đorđe Crnomarković

62'

Kufre Eta

64'

V. Novicic← N. Krstic

64'

N. Glisic← L. Lukovic

64'

V. Savicevic←

74'

Njegoš Petrović

74'

S. Karamoko← C. Keita

75'

D. Kokanovic← M. Vidosavljevic

75'

John Mary← A. Vukanovic

76'

Ismael Casas

83'

Dušan Zagar

90+1'

S. Medojevic← L. Randjelovic

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

IMTVojvodina

Overview

43%Possession57%

8Total Shots4

0.57Expected Goals (xG)0.33

2Corners4

21Fouls19

Shots

8Total Shots4

5On Target1

2Off Target3

1Blocked0

5Inside Box2

3Outside Box2

Passing

43%Possession57%

286Total Passes377

179Accurate Passes275

63%Pass Accuracy73%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

21Fouls19

3Yellow Cards4

1Offsides3