Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica — Friendlies Clubs 2026

IMT Novi Beograd
IMT Novi Beograd
CANC
16:00
Radnik Surdulica
Radnik Surdulica
7/10/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

IMT Novi Beograd22%
×Draw25%
Radnik Surdulica53%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

IMT Novi Beograd
0.94
Radnik Surdulica
1.60

Radnik Surdulica creates 70% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 6 away

creates per match

IMT Novi Beograd
0.71
Radnik Surdulica
1.33

allows per match

IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnik Surdulica
1.17

finishing

IMT Novi Beograd+0.00on par
Radnik Surdulica+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IMT Novi Beograd ↓

Radnik Surdulica →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–113%
0–210%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–112%
1–210%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

IMT Novi Beograd or draw
47%
IMT Novi Beograd or Radnik Surdulica
75%
Draw or Radnik Surdulica
78%

Winning margin

IMT Novi Beograd wins by 2+
8%
Radnik Surdulica wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

IMT Novi Beograd 1+ goals
61%
IMT Novi Beograd 2+ goals
24%
IMT Novi Beograd 3+ goals
7%
Radnik Surdulica 1+ goals
80%
Radnik Surdulica 2+ goals
47%
Radnik Surdulica 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

IMT Novi Beograd (draw refunded)
30%
Radnik Surdulica (draw refunded)
70%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IMT Novi Beograd at home — creates 0.71, concedes 1.86 · 7 matches

Radnik Surdulica away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IMT Novi Beograd attack 0.71 + Radnik Surdulica defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 0.94

Radnik Surdulica attack 1.33 + IMT Novi Beograd defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

IMT Novi Beograd scores more
22%
level
25%
Radnik Surdulica scores more
53%

Radnik Surdulica at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Radnik Surdulica will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: IMT Novi Beograd host Radnik Surdulica

July 10, 2026: IMT Novi Beograd take on Radnik Surdulica in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.