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IFK Norrkoping vs Landskrona BoIS — Svenska Cupen 2019

IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS
2/28/2026Svenska CupenSvenska Cupen · Group Stage - 2Platinumcars Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

IFK Norrkoping52%
×Draw23%
Landskrona BoIS25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

IFK Norrkoping
1.84
Landskrona BoIS
1.21

IFK Norrkoping creates 52% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 16 away

creates per match

IFK Norrkoping
2.00
Landskrona BoIS
1.50

allows per match

IFK Norrkoping
0.92
Landskrona BoIS
1.69

finishing

IFK Norrkoping+0.00on par
Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IFK Norrkoping ↓

Landskrona BoIS →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

IFK Norrkoping or draw
75%
IFK Norrkoping or Landskrona BoIS
77%
Draw or Landskrona BoIS
48%

Winning margin

IFK Norrkoping wins by 2+
29%
Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

IFK Norrkoping 1+ goals
84%
IFK Norrkoping 2+ goals
55%
IFK Norrkoping 3+ goals
28%
Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals
70%
Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals
34%
Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

IFK Norrkoping (draw refunded)
67%
Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IFK Norrkoping at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.92 · 13 matches

Landskrona BoIS away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.69 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IFK Norrkoping attack 2.00 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.84

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.50 + IFK Norrkoping defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

IFK Norrkoping scores more
52%
level
23%
Landskrona BoIS scores more
25%

IFK Norrkoping at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "IFK Norrkoping will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: IFK Norrkoping vs Landskrona BoIS

IFK Norrkoping beat Landskrona BoIS 2-0 in Svenska Cupen on February 28, 2026.

The match was played at Platinumcars Arena.