Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

IFK Norrkoping vs AFC Eskilstuna — Friendlies Clubs 2026

IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping
FT
1 – 0
AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna
3/26/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3PlatinumCars Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

IFK Norrkoping75%
×Draw19%
AFC Eskilstuna6%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

IFK Norrkoping
1.89
AFC Eskilstuna
0.36

IFK Norrkoping creates 425% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 3 away

creates per match

IFK Norrkoping
2.10
AFC Eskilstuna
0.33

allows per match

IFK Norrkoping
0.40
AFC Eskilstuna
1.67

finishing

IFK Norrkoping+0.00on par
AFC Eskilstuna+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

74%No
  • No74
  • Yes26

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IFK Norrkoping ↓

AFC Eskilstuna →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–14%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–020%
1–17%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–019%
2–17%
2–21%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–012%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–12%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
66%34%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

IFK Norrkoping or draw
94%
IFK Norrkoping or AFC Eskilstuna
81%
Draw or AFC Eskilstuna
25%

Winning margin

IFK Norrkoping wins by 2+
47%
AFC Eskilstuna wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

IFK Norrkoping 1+ goals
85%
IFK Norrkoping 2+ goals
56%
IFK Norrkoping 3+ goals
29%
AFC Eskilstuna 1+ goals
30%
AFC Eskilstuna 2+ goals
5%
AFC Eskilstuna 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

IFK Norrkoping (draw refunded)
92%
AFC Eskilstuna (draw refunded)
8%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
18%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IFK Norrkoping at home — creates 2.10, concedes 0.40 · 10 matches

AFC Eskilstuna away — creates 0.33, concedes 1.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IFK Norrkoping attack 2.10 + AFC Eskilstuna defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.89

AFC Eskilstuna attack 0.33 + IFK Norrkoping defence 0.40 → ÷2 → 0.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

IFK Norrkoping scores more
75%
level
19%
AFC Eskilstuna scores more
6%

IFK Norrkoping at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "IFK Norrkoping will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: IFK Norrkoping 1–0 AFC Eskilstuna

IFK Norrkoping beat AFC Eskilstuna 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on March 26, 2022.

The match was played at PlatinumCars Arena in Norrköping.