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IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad — Allsvenskan 2026

IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna
FT
4 – 1
HT: 3 – 1
Halmstad
Halmstad
E. Botchway 85'
A. Timossi Andersson 45'
A. Jakobsen 36'
M. Olsson 1' (OG)
A. Calisir 26' (OG)
8/3/2024AllsvenskanAllsvenskan · Round 17Grimsta IP

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

IF Brommapojkarna38%
×Draw26%
Halmstad36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

IF Brommapojkarna
1.38
Halmstad
1.34

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 8 home / 11 away

creates per match

IF Brommapojkarna
1.28
Halmstad
1.18

allows per match

IF Brommapojkarna
1.51
Halmstad
1.48

finishing

IF Brommapojkarna-0.03on par
Halmstad-0.09on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IF Brommapojkarna ↓

Halmstad →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

IF Brommapojkarna or draw
64%
IF Brommapojkarna or Halmstad
74%
Draw or Halmstad
62%

Winning margin

IF Brommapojkarna wins by 2+
18%
Halmstad wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

IF Brommapojkarna 1+ goals
75%
IF Brommapojkarna 2+ goals
40%
IF Brommapojkarna 3+ goals
16%
Halmstad 1+ goals
74%
Halmstad 2+ goals
39%
Halmstad 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

IF Brommapojkarna (draw refunded)
51%
Halmstad (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IF Brommapojkarna at home — creates 1.28, concedes 1.51 · 8 matches

Halmstad away — creates 1.18, concedes 1.48 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.28 + Halmstad defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.38

Halmstad attack 1.18 + IF Brommapojkarna defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

IF Brommapojkarna scores more
38%
level
26%
Halmstad scores more
36%

IF Brommapojkarna at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "IF Brommapojkarna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21
A. Timossi AnderssonIF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna · M
7.9

Match Events

1'
M. OlssonOwn goal
26'
A. CalisirOwn goal
31'
Nikola Vasic
36'
A. Jakobsen↳ W. Odefalk
45+2'
Noah Söderberg
45'
A. Timossi Andersson↳ F. Christensen
46'
J. Baffoe← G. Wallentin
60'
Alexander Jensen
61'
B. Turgott← N. Mäenpää
66'
Marcus Olsson
67'
A. Ahlstrand← M. Olsson
67'
R. Wiedesheim-Paul← B. Ingason
83'
Wilmer Odefalk
83'
H. Karlsson← A. Calisir
84'
E. Botchway← N. Vasić
84'
Daleho Irandust← A. Jakobsen
85'
E. Botchway↳ L. Fritzson
87'
Vinicius Nogueira
89'
R. Örqvist← W. Odefalk
90+1'
L. Tahwildaran← A. Jensen

Possession

58%IF

Shots

14IF

Pass accuracy

52%IF

Statistics

IFHalmstad
Overview
58%Possession42%
14Total Shots9
1.13Expected Goals (xG)0.22
5Corners7
10Fouls6
Shots
14Total Shots9
4On Target2
5Off Target3
5Blocked4
10Inside Box5
4Outside Box4
Passing
58%Possession42%
641Total Passes467
578Accurate Passes386
90%Pass Accuracy83%
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
Discipline
10Fouls6
3Yellow Cards3
4Offsides0

Match Recap: IF Brommapojkarna vs Halmstad

IF Brommapojkarna beat Halmstad 4-1 in Allsvenskan on August 3, 2024.

Goals: M. Olsson (1' o.g.), A. Calisir (26' o.g.), A. Jakobsen (36'), A. Timossi Andersson (45'), E. Botchway (85').

IF Brommapojkarna controlled possession (58%) and registered 14 shots to 9.

The match was played at Grimsta IP in Stockholm.