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Halmstad vs IF Brommapojkarna — Allsvenskan 2026

Halmstad
Halmstad
FT
1 – 3
HT: 0 – 0
IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna
L. Cavallius 90' (OG)
M. Hansen 82'
K. Barslund 69'
S. Oppong 59'
5/4/2026AllsvenskanAllsvenskan · Round 6Örjans Vall

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Halmstad48%
×Draw25%
IF Brommapojkarna27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Halmstad
1.57
IF Brommapojkarna
1.11

Halmstad creates 41% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 11 away

creates per match

Halmstad
1.53
IF Brommapojkarna
1.29

allows per match

Halmstad
0.94
IF Brommapojkarna
1.61

finishing

Halmstad-0.39scores less
IF Brommapojkarna+0.71scores more

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Halmstad ↓

IF Brommapojkarna →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Halmstad or draw
73%
Halmstad or IF Brommapojkarna
75%
Draw or IF Brommapojkarna
52%

Winning margin

Halmstad wins by 2+
25%
IF Brommapojkarna wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Halmstad 1+ goals
79%
Halmstad 2+ goals
46%
Halmstad 3+ goals
21%
IF Brommapojkarna 1+ goals
67%
IF Brommapojkarna 2+ goals
30%
IF Brommapojkarna 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Halmstad (draw refunded)
64%
IF Brommapojkarna (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Halmstad at home — creates 1.53, concedes 0.94 · 7 matches

IF Brommapojkarna away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.61 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Halmstad attack 1.53 + IF Brommapojkarna defence 1.61 → ÷2 → 1.57

IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.29 + Halmstad defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Halmstad scores more
48%
level
25%
IF Brommapojkarna scores more
27%

Halmstad at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Halmstad will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9
M. HansenIF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna · M
8.7

Match Events

17'
Kevin Ackermann
27'
Mads Hansen
50'
Rami Kaib
56'
Otso Liimatta
59'
S. Oppong↳ D. Isso
63'
G. Friberg← R. Kaib
64'
H. Carneil← L. Arvidsson
64'
M. Illary← O. Liimatta
69'
K. Barslund↳ M. Hansen
72'
K. Sever← D. Isso
80'
M. Persson← O. Kapsimalis
80'
L. Bjorklund← K. Ackermann
82'
M. Hansen↳ O. Berg
85'
S. Ngouali← K. Barslund
85'
I. Camara← S. Oppong
90'
Hussein Carneil
90+3'
Mads Hansen
90+3'
Mads Hansen
90'
L. CavalliusOwn goal

Possession

50%Halmstad

Shots

14Halmstad

Pass accuracy

50%Halmstad

Statistics

HalmstadIF
Overview
50%Possession50%
14Total Shots16
0.84Expected Goals (xG)1.68
4Corners5
7Fouls12
Shots
14Total Shots16
1On Target5
9Off Target7
4Blocked4
4Inside Box10
10Outside Box6
Passing
50%Possession50%
453Total Passes461
376Accurate Passes381
83%Pass Accuracy83%
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
Discipline
7Fouls12
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
0Offsides3

Match Recap: Halmstad vs IF Brommapojkarna

IF Brommapojkarna beat Halmstad 3-1 in Allsvenskan on May 4, 2026.

Goals: S. Oppong (59'), K. Barslund (69'), M. Hansen (82'), L. Cavallius (90' o.g.).

Halmstad controlled possession (50%) and registered 14 shots to 16.

The match was played at Örjans Vall in Halmstad.